Demonstration Study on the Intrinsic Characteristic of Stock Complex Index on Shanghai Security Market

This paper takes the Shanghai Security market stock composite index as the research object, analyzes its intrinsic fractal essence characteristics by the application of fractal theory and the method, and computes the Hurst index, fractal dimension and correlated function of the highest prices of the complex index. Moreover, it studies characteristics of long term memory of the sample data and its variance along with time; study existence of chaotic attractors in data of the complex index by reconstructing the phase space of the index data. Finally, this paper carries on the related forecast demonstration study to the stock composite index. Results of the study have certain reference function to the actual problem.     

江西省雷电灾害易损性分析及其区划

详细分析江西省自然环境、经济状况和雷灾损失情况,根据该省近9年的雷电灾害统计资料和1951年以来的年平均雷暴日统计资料,选取雷击密度、雷电灾害频数、经济易损指标、生命易损指标作为雷灾易损性评价指标。对江西省各设区市的雷灾易损性进行了综合评估,初步形成了江西省雷灾易损性区划,为防御和减低雷电损失的规划提供了科学依据。     

条件植被温度指数干旱监测方法的研究与应用

综合应用归一化植被指数(NDVI)和土地表面温度(LST),提出了条件植被温度指数(VTCI)的概念,并将其用于干旱监测。VTCI的定义既考虑了区域内NDVI的变化,又强调了NDVI值相等时LST的变化,可解释为NDVI值相等时LST差异的比率。分别以陕西关中平原地区和美国大平原南部地区为研究区域,应用AVHRR和MODIS卫星遥感反演的NDVI和LST产品,以及累计降水量和降水偏差数据,证实了条件植被温度指数是一种近实时的干旱监测方法。     

我国城市生态可持续发展能力评价研究

以环境、资源、经济和社会4个子系统为核心,提出了我国城市生态可持续发展的指标体系CESDIS,构建了城市生态可持续发展评价模型CESDED。应用CESDED模型,通过因子分析方法对温州市1998-2003年的城市生态可持续发展进行了评价,指出了温州市生态可持续发展存在的问题,为我国其它城市的生态可持续发展提供借鉴。     

基于指数法的装备维修保障系统效能评估模型

建立了装备维修保障系统效能评估指标体系,利用指数法对其3个组成要素———维修检测系统、备件保障系统和修复技术设备保障系统进行效能分析,构造出装备维修保障系统的效能评估模型;有利于对其效能进行全面、具体的评价,从而方便、快速地确定出其维修保障水平。     

网络时代高校图书馆员工作评价指标与评价原则初探

论述了网络时代高校图书馆员工作的评价指标,提出了客观公正评价图书馆员工作的5条原则,指出了正确评价馆员工作的重要性。     

模糊综合评判和层次分析法在高校教学评价中的应用

教师课堂教学质量评价是高校教学质量管理的重要环节,它对提高教学效果有积极的作用.本文针对评价的模糊性,提出了模糊综合评判和层次分析法相结合的方法,合理地确定了评价指标的权重,减少了评价中的主观影响,提高了评价的准确性、公正性.     

铝对大蒜根尖细胞有丝分裂的影响

用不同浓度的三氯化铝分别处理大蒜根尖6h,18h,24h,结果表明:各处理组均对大蒜根尖细胞有丝分裂产生抑制.随着处理液中铝浓度的升高及处理时间的加长,有丝分裂指数呈现规律性的变化:染毒的根尖细胞有丝分裂指数明显低于对照组,并随着作用时间的延长快速下降,随着浓度的升高先减后增再减,说明三氯化铝具有细胞分裂抑制剂的作用.不同浓度的三氯化铝在不同处理时间内均能诱使大蒜根尖细胞发生染色体畸变.     

Some evidence of drying trend over northern China from 1951 to 2004

The surface wetness index, Palmer drought sererity index and the retrieval of soil moisture over China were calculated using monthly precipitation and monthly mean surface air temperature. Based on the contrast analysis of the variation of the above three indices and precipitation, the dry/wet spatio-temporal pattern of northern China in the last 54 years was revealed, and the evidence of drying trend over northern China was analyzed, especially. The results show the following four facts: (1) The drying trend is the main characteristic of the eastern part of Northwest China and the central part of North China since the 1980s and it was enhanced in the last 15 years mainly due to the precipitation decrease and the temperature increase; (2) During the last 54 years, there was only one dry/wet shift at the interdecadal scale occurring in the eastern part of Northwest China and the central part of North China in the late 1970s, which was related to 1977/1978 global abrupt change, whereas there were three shifts in Northeast China, one was in the mid 1990s and the other two were in 1965 and 1983, respectively; (3) Unlike the variation trend of other subregions of northern China, the western part of Northwest China is currently located in a relatively wetting period, which is weak-ened due to the temperature increase; (4) The extreme drought frequency is obviously increasing in the eastern part of Northwest China, the central part of North China and Northeast China since the 1980s, which is closely related to the precipitation decrease and temperature increase in these subregions.     

盐酸吗啉胍对蚕豆根尖细胞的遗传毒性效应

以不同浓度的盐酸吗啉胍为诱变剂，运用蚕豆根尖微核检测技术和染色体畸变实验方法，测定蚕豆根尖细胞的有丝分裂指数、微核率和染色体畸变率．结果表明：盐酸吗啉胍能够降低蚕豆根尖细胞有丝分裂指数，能诱发较高频率的微核和染色体畸变，产生染色体断片、滞后染色体和染色体桥．随着盐酸吗啉胍处理浓度的增加，有丝分裂指数降低，而微核率和染色体畸变率均升高；随着盐酸吗啉胍浓度的进一步增加，染色体畸变率却下降，但仍明显高于对照组．