基于线性神经网络的重庆市GDP发展研究

对1978-2011年重庆市生产总值时间序列进行分析,研究发现四阶差分之后,数据趋于平稳;四阶差分序列的自相关系数一阶截尾,最终建立时间序列ARIMA（1,4,1）模型,并测算残差平方和,但ARIMA模型的残差序列存在自相关,对拟合效果产生了影响;基于时间序列ARIMA（1,4,1）模型研究的基础,进一步采用线性神经网络对序列进行学习和仿真计算,结果表明：神经网络的模拟效果优于ARIMA时间序列的模拟效果.     

桂林市旅游人数的时间序列预测模型

采用一阶自然对数差分和一阶季节差分来数学处理桂林市月旅游人数时间序列的季节性和波动性趋势,并依据1999年1月～2006年8月桂林市月旅游人数数据,建立桂林市旅游人数的时间序列预测模型,并将该模型与实际数据进行拟合和预测,结果表明该模型与实际数据的拟合性好,预测得到的数据与实际数据误差较小,可以实际用来预测未来日旅游人数的基本趋势,为管理和市场决策提供参考.     

基于时间序列分析的电容器退化模型

针对高温下电容器电容值下降的问题,基于差分自回归移动平均(ARIMA)模型及分数阶自回归移动平均(ARFIMA)模型,引入时间序列分析法预测电容值的退化轨迹.对于ARIMA模型,当电容器的退化过程服从Wiener分布时,利用过差分预判法(OPM)预判原时间序列的过差分阶数;根据单位根检验、自相关及偏自相关函数的计算结果确定经过一阶差分后的时间序列的平稳性.对于ARFIMA模型,利用重标极差法判定退化数据是否具有长期记忆性;通过最小准则及极大似然法估计模型阶数及其相关参数值.最后,通过残差检验验证OPM-ARIMA及ARFIMA模型在提取有效信息与准确预测两方面的能力,并进一步分析了这两种模型的可行性与有效性.     

(m,q)阶序列分数差分方程的解

通过构造一个特殊函数λα(n),揭示该函数的重要性质;利用特殊函数λα(n),得到线性常系数齐次(m,q)阶序列分数差分方程的特征方程.然后利用有理(m,q)阶算子分解法,结合Z变换方法求出齐次(m,q)阶序列分数差分方程的显示解;以及结合利用分数Green函数求出解非齐次(m,q)阶序列分数差分方程,得到了一般线性常系数非齐次(m,q)阶序列分数差分方程解的通解结构和基本定理.     

甲型流感病毒蛋白质序列的长记忆模型

基于CGR-游走模型和分数阶差分,运用时间序列模型分析甲型流感病毒。基于详细HP模型,先将甲流病毒H5N1的蛋白质序列转化成CGR时间序列,再引入长记忆ARFIMA(p,d,q)模型拟合此类序列。发现随机得到的9条H5N1的蛋白质序列都具有长相关性且拟合良好,还发现这类序列都可以用ARFIMA(1,d,1)模型加以识别。     

基于IPMC的频域分数阶建模及最优控制

离子聚合物-金属复合材料(IPMC)具有良好的电-机械特性,由于致动性能类似于生物肌肉,因此受到广泛关注.频域建模方法在处理动力学系统和非常定线性动力学系统的参数辨识方面具有独特的优点.为了针对IPMC驱动器精确地建立数学模型并实现最优控制,首先根据驱动实验数据应用加权Levy算法在频域建立了IPMC驱动器的整数阶模型和分数阶模型,比较两种模型的拟合效果,确定采用拟合精度较高的分数阶模型来描述IPMC非整数阶动力学特性.然后对IPMC分数阶模型应用OptimFOPID界面控制器分别设计了整数阶PID控制器和最优分数阶PIλDμ控制器.最后比较控制效果,可见最优分数阶控制的响应更快,超调量更小,且通频带更宽,可用于实现对IPMC驱动器的精确控制.     

基于输出误差的永磁同步电机分数阶建模

为了得到永磁同步电动机更为精确的数学模型,采用机理建模和数值建模相结合的方式,提出了一种永磁同步电动机分数阶建模方法.首先根据电动机组成机理建立电动机的电磁环节和机械环节模型,分别对这两个环节进行建模实验,然后采用基于输出误差的数值拟合方法进行参数辨识,得到永磁同步电动机的分数阶模型,最后根据所得模型设计速度控制器并进行电动机速度跟踪仿真和实验.结果表明,电动机分数阶模型比整数阶模型能更准确地描述电动机的实际特性.     

时间分数阶亚式期权的θ差分方法

针对分数阶Black-Scholes模型下的亚式期权定价问题,提出了一种实用性较强的普遍性差分方法,并通过该方法得出了亚式期权定价的数值结果.通过积分变换把亚式期权从二维空间变量偏微分方程转化为一维空间变量偏微分方程,进而得出了时间分数阶Black-Scholes模型下亚式期权的偏微分方程.将亚式期权的显式差分格式与隐式差分格式进行融合得到了一种普遍性差分格式,并结合数学归纳法分析了差分格式的唯一性、稳定性以及收敛性.采用差分格式通过数值模拟说明了普遍性差分方法求解时间分数阶Black-Scholes模型是可行的.     

基于R/S检验、ARFIMA模型和小波方差的人民币汇率长记忆性检验

分别应用R/S检验、ARFIMA模型和小波方差对人民币兑美元名义汇率收益率序列的长记忆性进行检验.根据R/S统计量计算出Hurst指数为0.573 745 1,采用ARFIMA(2,d,1)模型对人民币汇率收益率序列进行拟合的效果比较好,其分数差分参数为0.145 7,利用Haar小波对人民币汇率波动绝对值收益率序列进行最大重复离散小波变换,得出其长记忆性参数为0.393 1.3种方法的研究结果均表明人民币兑美元名义汇率收益率序列存在长记忆性.     

基于分数阶变分问题的TV模型

作为图像处理领域中的重要课题,图像去噪问题虽然已被研究多年,但将分数阶微积分应用于此,却还处于刚刚起步的阶段.本文采用频域分数阶化的技巧,引入了频域分数阶差分,并通过整数阶变分导出分数阶变分,再将其应用到分数阶TV模型中.仿真实验表明,频域分数阶差分能更好地保留图像的低频成分;而在图像去噪的研究中,相比整数阶差分,分数阶差分效果更优;并发现极大峰值信噪比的最优阶数和噪声方差有逆向联动关系.     

Characterization of Ordovician carbonate reservoirs, southeastern Saskatchewan, Canada

The discovery of the prolific Ordovician Red River reservoirs in 1995 in southeastern Saskatchewan was the catalyst for extensive exploration activity which resulted in the discovery of more than 15 new Red River pools. The best yields of Red River production to date have been from dolomite reservoirs. Understanding the processes of dolomitization is, therefore, crucial for the prediction of the connectivity, spatial distribution and heterogeneity of dolomite reservoirs.The Red River reservoirs in the Midale area consist of 3～4 thin dolomitized zones, with a total thickness of about 20 m, which occur at the top of the Yeoman Formation. Two types of replacement dolomite were recognized in the Red River reservoir: dolomitized burrow infills and dolomitized host matrix. The spatial distribution of dolomite suggests that burrowing organisms played an important role in facilitating the fluid flow in the backfilled sediments. This resulted in penecontemporaneous dolomitization of burrow infills by normal seawater. The dolomite in the host matrix is interpreted as having occurred at shallow burial by evaporitic seawater during precipitation of Lake Almar anhydrite that immediately overlies the Yeoman Formation. However, the low δ18O values of dolomited burrow infills (-5.9‰～ -7.8‰, PDB) and matrix dolomites (-6.6‰～ -8.1‰, avg. -7.4‰ PDB) compared to the estimated values for the late Ordovician marine dolomite could be attributed to modification and alteration of dolomite at higher temperatures during deeper burial, which could also be responsible for its 87Sr/86Sr ratios (0.7084～0.7088) that are higher than suggested for the late Ordovician seawaters (0.7078～0.7080). The trace amounts of saddle dolomite cement in the Red River carbonates are probably related to "cannibalization" of earlier replacement dolomite during the chemical compaction.     

An Index mechanism for multi-scale view in spatial databases

There are numerous geometric objects stored in the spatial databases. An importance function in a spatial database is that users can browse the geometric objects as a map efficiently. Thus the spatial database should display the geometric objects users concern about swiftly onto the display window. This process includes two operations:retrieve data from database and then draw them onto screen. Accordingly, to improve the efficiency, we should try to reduce time of both retrieving object and displaying them. The former can be achieved with the aid of spatial index such as R-tree, the latter require to simplify the objects. Simplification means that objects are shown with sufficient but not with unnecessary detail which depend on the scale of browse. So the major problem is how to retrieve data at different detail level efficiently. This paper introduces the implementation of a multi-scale index in the spatial database SISP (Spatial Information Shared Platform) which is generalized from R-tree. The difference between the generalization and the R-tree lies on two facets: One is that every node and geometric object in the generalization is assigned with a importance value which denote the importance of them, and every vertex in the objects are assigned with a importance value,too. The importance value can be use to decide which data should be retrieve from disk in a query. The other difference is that geometric objects in the generalization are divided into one or more sub-blocks, and vertexes are total ordered by their importance value. With the help of the generalized R-tree, one can easily retrieve data at different detail levels.Some experiments are performed on real-life data to evaluate the performance of solutions that separately use normal spatial index and multi-scale spatial index. The results show that the solution using multi-scale index in SISP is satisfying.     

A computer generator for randomly layered structures

AcomputergeneratorforrandomlylayeredstructuresYUJia shun1,2,HEZhen hua2(1.TheInstituteofGeologicalandNuclearSciences,NewZealand;2.StateKeyLaboratoryofOilandGasReservoirGeologyandExploitation,ChengduUniversityofTechnology,China)Abstract:Analgorithmisintrod…     

海南岛地体及其毗邻陆缘晚中生代—新生代古地磁研究和构造演化

本文叙述了对海南岛及其毗邻大陆边缘白垩纪到第四纪地层岩石进行古地磁研究的全部工作过程。通过分析岩石中剩余磁矢量的磁偏角及磁倾角的变化,提出海南岛白垩纪以来经历的构造演化模式如下:早期伴随顺时针旋转而向南迁移,后期伴随逆时针转动并向北运移。联系该地区及邻区的地质、地球物理资料,对海南岛上述的构造地体运动提出以下认识:北部湾内早期有一拉张作用,主要是该作用使湾内地壳显著伸长减薄,形成北部湾盆地。从而导致了海南岛的早期构造运动,而海南岛后期的构造运动则主要是受南海海底扩张的影响。海南地体运动规律的阐明对于了解北部湾油气盆地的形成演化有重要的理论和实际意义。     

Exciton Seebeck in Molecular Systems

Various applications relevant to the exciton dynamics,such as the organic solar cell,the large-area organic light-emitting diodes and the thermoelectricity,are operating under temperature gradient.The potential abnormal behavior of the exicton dynamics driven by the temperature difference may affect the efficiency and performance of the corresponding devices.In the above situations,the exciton dynamics under temperature difference is mixed with     

Achieving Unusual States of Matter Under High Pressure

The elongation method,originally proposed by Imamura was further developed for many years in our group.As a method towards O(N)with high efficiency and high accuracy for any dimensional systems.This treatment designed for one-dimensional(ID)polymers is now available for three-dimensional(3D)systems,but geometry optimization is now possible only for 1D-systems.As an approach toward post-Hartree-Fock,it was also extended to     

《Chinese Science Bulletin》SUBJECT INDEX TO VOLUME 59(2014)

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An on-line scaling method for improving scalability of a database cluster

The explosive growth of the Internet and database applications has driven database to be more scalable and available, and able to support on-line scaling without interrupting service. To support more client's queries without downtime and degrading the response time, more nodes have to be scaled up while the database is running. This paper presents the overview of scalable and available database that satisfies the above characteristics. And we propose a novel on-line scaling method. Our method improves the existing on-line scaling method for fast response time and higher throughputs. Our proposed method reduces unnecessary network use, i.e. , we decrease the number of data copy by reusing the backup data. Also, our on-line scaling operation can be processed parallel by selecting adequate nodes as new node. Our performance study shows that our method results in significant reduction in data copy time.     

An improved R-tree based on childnode''s probability

R-Tree is a good structure for spatial searching. But in this indexing structure,either the sequence of nodes in the same level or sequence of traveling these nodes when queries are made is random. Since the possibility that the object appears in different MBR which have the same parents node is different, if we make the subnode who has the most possibility be traveled first, the time cost will be decreased in most of the cases. In some case, the possibility of a point belong to a rectangle will shows direct proportion with the size of the rectangle. But this conclusion is based on an assumption that the objects are symmetrically distributing in the area and this assumption is not always coming into existence. Now we found a more direct parameter to scale the possibility and made a little change on the structure of R-tree, to increase the possibility of founding the satisfying answer in the front sub trees. We names this structure probability based arranged R-tree (PBAR-tree).     

Integrating GIS Web services based on mediating architecture

The geographic information service is enabled by the advancements in general Web service technology and the focused efforts of the OGC in defining XML-based Web GIS service. Based on these models, this paper addresses the issue of services chaining,the process of combining or pipelining results from several interoperable GIS Web Services to create a customized solution. This paper presents a mediated chaining architecture in which a specific service takes responsibility for performing the process that describes a service chain. We designed the Spatial Information Process Language (SIPL) for dynamic modeling and describing the service chain, also a prototype of the Spatial Information Process Execution Engine (SIPEE) is implemented for executing processes written in SIPL. Discussion of measures to improve the functionality and performance of such system will be included.