基于概率图模型的危险驾驶罪刑期预测

针对司法实践中对于可解释性及预测性能的需求, 本文提出了一种基于概率图模型的量刑智能辅助方法. 该方法以量刑要素为基石建立含有隐节点的概率图模型, 由极大似然准则估计刑期分布的参数, 进而计算分布的数学期望得到预测值. 关于危险驾驶罪的实验结果表明, 概率图模型的预测准确率优于基于决策树和神经网络等的模型, 且具有良好的可解释性.     

基于改进Lagrange乘子法的交通信号配时优化研究

为提高交叉口的机动车通行效率及环境效益,采用改进罚参数来构造一种新的Lagrange乘子法对交叉路口的交通信号进行优化配时。通过权重系数建立车辆延误与尾气排放的数学模型,利用改进Lagrange乘子法进行优化,将其结果与两种典型智能算法的优化结果进行对比,并利用VISSIM(Verkehr in Stadten Simulation)微观交通可视化仿真软件进行验证。实验结果表明,该方法优化的信号配时使车辆延误降低19.89%,尾气排放量降低2.379%,可见大比例优化了交叉口的车辆延误,同时可以降低尾气排放量。     

绿色发展视域下政府环境规制对企业绿色创新的影响 ——企业环境责任的中介作用

以工业企业为对象,从绿色发展视域考察政府环境规制对企业绿色创新的影响,以及异质性企业环境责任的中介作用.结果显示:政府环境规制对绿色创新有显著正向影响,环境规制力度越大则企业绿色创新动力越强;相较于反应型环境责任,政府环境规制对前瞻型环境责任履行的促进作用更显著;环境规制对绿色创新的影响通过前瞻型企业环境责任的中介来发挥作用,而反应型企业环境责任在环境规制与绿色创新之间不具有中介作用.该研究结论为绿色发展视域下企业绿色实践与环境治理研究提供理论参考与支撑.     

De Casteljau Algorithm and Degree Elevation of Toric Surface Patches

De Casteljau algorithm and degree elevation of Bézier and NURBS curves/surfaces are two important techniques in computer aided geometric design. This paper presents the de Casteljau algorithm and degree elevation of toric surface patches, which include tensor product and triangular rational Bézier surfaces as special cases. Some representative examples of toric surface patches with common shapes are illustrated to verify these two algorithms. Moreover, the authors also apply the degree elevation of toric surface patches to isogeometric analysis. And two more examples show the effectiveness of proposed method.     

Moving beyond Volatility Index (VIX): HARnessing the term structure of implied volatility

This paper considers how information from the implied volatility (IV) term structure can be harnessed to improve stock return volatility forecasting within the state-of-the-art HAR model. Factors are extracted from the IV term structure and included as exogenous variables in the HAR framework. We found that including slope and curvature factors leads to significant forecast improvements over the HAR benchmark at a range of forecast horizons, compared with the standard HAR model and HAR model with VIX as IV information set.     

砂岩在西湖凹陷花港组交互式盖层中的作用初探

西湖凹陷花港组盖层具有砂泥岩交互式发育特征，而与泥岩伴生的砂岩类盖层的油气封闭作用研究较少。采用岩芯、镜下观察及压汞等分析方法，对砂泥岩交互式盖层中的砂岩特征进行了分析。结果表明，盖层中的砂岩可作为有效盖层，砂岩类盖层早期受沉积环境控制，含有较多的泥质而导致早期压实作用较强，加之晚期的黏土矿物转换及胶结物的发育，具备形成良好盖层的条件。在不同地区进行砂岩盖层有效性研究时应以沉积环境为基础，针对不同类型的砂岩进行成岩作用研究，并针对不同类型的砂岩样品进行实验分析以明确砂岩盖层的有效性。     

Improving the photocatalytic activity of graphitic carbon nitride by thermal treatment in a high-pressure hydrogen atmosphere

Extending visible light absorption range and suppressing the recombination of photogenerated charge carriers are always important topics in developing efficient solar-driven photocatalysts. In this study, the thermal treatment process at 400 °C in a high-pressure hydrogen atmosphere was applied to modify graphitic carbon nitride. Compared to the normal atmospheric hydrogen treatment process, this process has the merit of producing nitrogen deficient graphitic carbon nitride in high-yield. The optimal photocatalytic activity of modified graphitic carbon nitride was demonstrated by controlling the treatment duration in the hydrogen atmosphere.The changes in the crystal structure, microstructure and optical properties of carbon nitrides were investigated by several characterizations. The relationship between the photocatalytic activity and structures of graphitic carbon nitride was preliminarily established. The results obtained in this study could provide some new ways of improving the activity of graphitic carbon nitride based photocatalyst.     

俄英医学同义术语的类型划分及英俄、汉俄医学词典编纂启示

同义现象是术语学界长期关注的热点问题,也是当代极具现实意义和有争议的问题。术语的同义现象是建立在表达同一个专业概念的不同术语单位基础上的一种语义关系。通过对医学各领域同义术语(主要是俄语和英语)的分析和描写,划分同义术语的类型,确定现代医学术语的特点,进而发现现代医学双语(主要是英俄、汉俄)词典中暂时还缺乏关于在术语系统功能化条件下使用某一同义术语的相关信息。因此,英俄、汉俄医学词典应对同义术语做相关的信息标注,以帮助使用者选取某一具体医学领域最适合的同义术语。     

Cost and Service-Level-Based Model for a Seru Production System Formation Problem with Uncertain Demand

With increasing demand diversification and short product lifecycles, industries now encounter challenges of demand uncertainty. The Japanese seru production system has received increased attention owing to its high efficiency and flexibility. In this paper, the problem of seru production system formation under uncertain demand is researched. A multi-objective optimization model for a seru production system formation problem is developed to minimize the cost and maximize the service level of the system. The purpose of this paper is to formulate a robust production system that can respond efficiently to the stochastic demand. Sample average approximation (SAA) is used to approximate the expected objective of the stochastic programming. The non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II (NSGA-II) is improved to solve the multi-objective optimization model. Numerical experiments are conducted to test the tradeoff between cost and service level, and how the performance of the seru production system varies with the number of product types, mean and deviation of product volume, and skill-level-based cost.