高新技术企业创新资金配置风险预警的FOA-SVM模型及实证

为了提高创新资金的运营效率和为企业创新活动提供有效支撑,按照高新技术企业创新资金配置的生态化要求,从资金的来源、使用、偿还、收益分配四个维度进行风险分析并构建风险预警指标,给出创新资金配置的生态目标,将支持向量机二分类问题扩展到多分类并与果蝇优化算法结合构建风险预警的FOA-SVM (fruit fly optimization algorithm and support vector machines)模型,确定警度和警限,选取117家医药制造企业2016年数据进行模型验证并与GA-SVM (genetic algorithm and support vector machines)模型进行比较分析,研究表明,FOA-SVM模型分类准确率高而且对于高风险的误判率低,可以实现对高新技术企业创新资金配置风险的分类预警,为优化创新资金配置、防范与控制创新资金配置风险提供依据.     

Rediscovery of Disepyris semiruber (Kieffer) (Hymenoptera: Bethylidae) in Southern Africa,with first description of the male

Holepyris semiruber Kieffer is redescribed and illustrated based on freshly collected specimens. Holepyris semiruber var. striatipleura Kieffer is considered a colour variant of this species and therefore a junior synonym of H. semiruber syn. nov. This species is transferred to Disepyris, D. semiruber (Kieffer) comb. nov., based on the possession of a short 2r-rs&Rs vein in the fore wing and presence of long flat spine-shaped setae on the outer (posterior) surface of the protarsi. The male is described for the first time from new specimens collected in South Africa. This species is recorded for the first time from Namibia and Zimbabwe. All photographs are available on www.waspweb.org.     

Quantum Theory and the Nature of Consciousness

Our interest focusses on the idea, that consciousness is a powerful acting entity. Up to now there does not exist a scientific concept for this idea. This is not due to problems within the field of psychology or brain research, but rather in resisting theories of modern physics. That is, why we have to search for a solution in the field of physics. A solution can be found in a new understanding of the basics of physical theory. That could be given by abstract and absolute quantum bits of information (AQI bits). To avoid the popular misunderstanding of “information” as “meaningful” it was necessary to find a new word for the free-of-meaning AQI bits: the AQI bits establish a quantum pre-structure termed “Protyposis” (Greek: “pre-formation”), out of which real objects can be formed, starting from energetical and material elementary particles. The Protyposis AQI bits provide a pre-structure for all entities in natural sciences. They are the basic entities, whereof the physical nature of the brain, on the one hand, and the mental nature of consciousness, on the other hand, were formed during the cosmological and the following biological evolution. A deeper understanding of quantum structures may help to overcome the resistance against quantum theory in the field of brain research and consciousness. The key for an understanding is the concept of Protyposis, which means an abstract quantum information free of any definite meaning. With the AQI bits of the Protyposis, both, massless and massive quantum particles can be constructed. Even quantum information with special meanings, in example grammatically formulated thoughts, eventually could be explained. As long as the fundamental basis of quantum theory is misunderstood as being formed by a manifold of some small objects like atoms, quarks, or strings, the problem of understanding consciousness has no solution. If instead we understand quantum theory as based on truly simple quantum structures, there would be no longer fundamental problems for an understanding of consciousness.     

基于语言偏好信息的满意公平稳定双边匹配方法

针对语言偏好信息下的双边匹配问题,提出一种考虑匹配满意性、公平性和稳定性的双边匹配方法.首先,通过构造匹配满意度计算规则,将双边主体的语言偏好信息转化为匹配满意度;然后,给出满意匹配、公平匹配和稳定匹配的定义,在此基础上,考虑稳定匹配约束条件,建立双边匹配多目标优化模型,采用理想点法将多目标优化模型转化为单目标规划模型进行求解;最后,通过一个算例验证了提出方法的可行性和有效性.     

科技智库研究方法:进展与趋势

 对全球科技智库的学科领域、理论体系、具体方法以及实践成果进行了调研与分析。调研结果显示，经济管理、政治法律、安全社会、能源环境等学科领域是科技智库研究方法关系网的核心，交通建筑、天文地学、生物医药、材料化学、数学物理、信息通信等学科领域处于辅助地位。科技智库的研究理论经由科技规划、科技评估、科技路线图的实践，逐渐向DⅡS研究体系发展。科技智库研究的具体方法可分为数据收集方法、信息整合方法、综合研判方法、方案构建方法4类，具有多主体、多对象、多介质、多因子、多组合、多渠道、多层次、多维度、多阶段、多角色等特征。随着科学技术在公共服务和决策咨询中的应用，科技智库的研究方法以可视化平台、跟踪调查平台、综合检索平台为依托，将进一步深化、拓展、完善。     

动车所调车作业计划优化模型与算法

本文在分析动车组一级修作业流程特点的基础上,将动车所调车作业计划优化问题构建为整数规划模型并设计了融合"股道均衡分配规则""股道无效占用时间最小化规则""冲突消解策略"的启发式算法对问题进行求解,以动车所实际案例为背景验证了模型和算法的有效性。结果表明,所提出优化模型和算法是有效的;所提启发式算法相比三类常见的调度方法具有明显的优越性。     

Enhancing momentum investment strategy using leverage

Previous studies examine investment strategies based on leverage and momentum; none investigates both variables jointly as an investment strategy. This paper is the first incorporating leverage and momentum together. We show that low past returns (losers) forecast future negative abnormal returns only among stocks with high leverage levels, but not among stocks with low leverage levels. However, high past returns (winners) forecast future positive abnormal returns independently of leverage level. As a result, the negative relation between leverage and future abnormal returns is only observed among loser stocks, and the positive relation between past returns and future abnormal returns is only shown among non‐low leverage stocks. Our results are important in achieving better investment strategies: buying winners' stocks (independently of their level of leverage) and short‐selling losers' stocks with high leverage yield higher abnormal returns than strategies based on only one of these variables. Our two‐dimensional strategy yields risk‐adjusted abnormal returns of 15.66% per annum, whereas the single leverage or momentum strategies yield 7.70% and 7.96% per annum, respectively. The difference is nearly 8% and economically significant. If leverage is considered as proxy for default risk, our results, contrary to previous evidence, show that momentum profits are not exclusive of default stocks, and that momentum returns are not only driven by negative returns yielded by distress stocks.     

自动化码头运输设备充电策略优化的仿真研究

随着自动化集装箱码头成为当今码头的发展趋势,AGV(automated guided vehicle) 作为自动化码头中使用最为广泛的水平运输工具,合理制定其充电策略至关重要。针对当前自动化集装箱码头中AGV充电策略的不足,提出一种以离线充电为主在线充电为辅的充电策略,并且针对在线充电站点位置选择问题提出一种利用热区图选择有效在线充电站点的快捷方法。在使用该种充电策略情况下,通过大量仿真实验得出在码头工作任务量不变的前提下可减少AGV数量配置的结果,说明自动化集装箱码头水平搬运效率得到提高,证明该充电策略具有有效性。