The Dynamics of Two-State Public Opinion Propagation On Signed Networks

The formation of public opinion on the network is a hot issue in the field of complex network research, and some classical dynamic models are used to solve this problem. The signed network is a particular form of the complex network, which can adequately describe the amicable and hostile relationships in complex real-world systems. However, the methods for studying the dynamic process of public opinion propagation on signed networks still require to be further discussed. In this paper, the authors pay attention to the influence of negative edges in order to design a two-state public opinion propagation mechanism suitable for signed networks. The authors first set the interaction rules between nodes and the transition rules of node states and then apply the model to synthetic and real-world signed networks. The simulation results show that there is a critical value of the negative edge ratio.When the negative edge ratio exceeds this critical value, the evolutionary result of public opinion will change from a consistent state to a split state. This conclusion is also consistent with the distribution result of opinions within communities in the signed network. Besides, the research on the network structural balance shows that the model makes the network evolve in a more balanced direction.     

动车所调车作业计划优化模型与算法

本文在分析动车组一级修作业流程特点的基础上,将动车所调车作业计划优化问题构建为整数规划模型并设计了融合"股道均衡分配规则""股道无效占用时间最小化规则""冲突消解策略"的启发式算法对问题进行求解,以动车所实际案例为背景验证了模型和算法的有效性。结果表明,所提出优化模型和算法是有效的;所提启发式算法相比三类常见的调度方法具有明显的优越性。     

Dynamic Model Averaging and CPI Inflation Forecasts: A Comparison between the Euro Area and the United States

The paper forecasts consumer price inflation in the euro area (EA) and in the USA between 1980:Q1 and 2012:Q4 based on a large set of predictors, with dynamic model averaging (DMA) and dynamic model selection (DMS). DMA/DMS allows not solely for coefficients to change over time, but also for changes in the entire forecasting model over time. DMA/DMS provides on average the best inflation forecasts with regard to alternative approaches (such as the random walk). DMS outperforms DMA. These results are robust for different sample periods and for various forecast horizons. The paper highlights common features between the USA and the EA. First, two groups of predictors forecast inflation: temporary fundamentals that have a frequent impact on inflation but only for short time periods; and persistent fundamentals whose switches are less frequent over time. Second, the importance of some variables (particularly international food commodity prices, house prices and oil prices) as predictors for consumer price index inflation increases when such variables experience large shocks. The paper also shows that significant differences prevail in the forecasting models between the USA and the EA. Such differences can be explained by the structure of these respective economies. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于语言偏好信息的满意公平稳定双边匹配方法

针对语言偏好信息下的双边匹配问题,提出一种考虑匹配满意性、公平性和稳定性的双边匹配方法.首先,通过构造匹配满意度计算规则,将双边主体的语言偏好信息转化为匹配满意度;然后,给出满意匹配、公平匹配和稳定匹配的定义,在此基础上,考虑稳定匹配约束条件,建立双边匹配多目标优化模型,采用理想点法将多目标优化模型转化为单目标规划模型进行求解;最后,通过一个算例验证了提出方法的可行性和有效性.     

面向OD客流的高速列车开行方案的优化

满足旅客出行需求的列车开行方案能够更好地吸引客流，提高高速铁路的核心竞争力.以最大化经济收益和最小化出行费用为目标函数，以高速铁路开行方案为研究对象，以旅客出行需求等作为约束条件，将列车开行方案与OD客流量结合起来，同时考虑旅客的购票心理和列车购票的时效性，建立了一种基于动态客流的列车开行方案的多目标优化模型，并设计一种基于个体信息和改进变异算子的多目标差分(SG-MOSaDE)算法进行求解.以广州市某线路为例进行实验，结果表明，优化后的开行方案不仅最大化满足了旅客出行需求，而且在提高铁路部门经济收益的同时降低了旅客的出行花费，并且优化后的列车总停站次数较原来有所下降，停站方案更加均衡.     

一种基于证据决策的航迹相关算法

基于证据决策的思想,对传统的最近领域法(NN)及K近领域法(K-NN)进行改造,设计新的航迹相关判决准则,提出一种新的分布式多传感器航迹关联算法(EK-NN). 通过仿真试验分析,并与最近领域法(NN)及K近领域法(K-NN)进行比较. 结果表明,在密集目标环境下,基于证据决策的(EK-NN)航迹关联算法明显优于最近领域法(NN),较K近领域法(K-NN)也有一定的改进.     

基于AGIMM的临近空间机动目标跟踪滤波算法

由于临近空间高超声速目标的机动形式复杂,单一模型很难满足高精度跟踪的需要。因此需要使用基于多种模型进行交叉耦合的交互式多模型算法,这种算法特点与临近空间目标高速、高机动特性相适应。提出了一种自适应网格交互多模型跟踪算法用于临近空间高超声速机动目标的跟踪问题。所提方法能够处理自适应时变模型集合,随时调整当前时刻使用的模型数量,相比于固定结构交互式多模型算法极大减少了计算量,计算效率和跟踪精度更高,数值仿真结果验证了所提算法的有效性。