Dynamic Model Averaging and CPI Inflation Forecasts: A Comparison between the Euro Area and the United States

The paper forecasts consumer price inflation in the euro area (EA) and in the USA between 1980:Q1 and 2012:Q4 based on a large set of predictors, with dynamic model averaging (DMA) and dynamic model selection (DMS). DMA/DMS allows not solely for coefficients to change over time, but also for changes in the entire forecasting model over time. DMA/DMS provides on average the best inflation forecasts with regard to alternative approaches (such as the random walk). DMS outperforms DMA. These results are robust for different sample periods and for various forecast horizons. The paper highlights common features between the USA and the EA. First, two groups of predictors forecast inflation: temporary fundamentals that have a frequent impact on inflation but only for short time periods; and persistent fundamentals whose switches are less frequent over time. Second, the importance of some variables (particularly international food commodity prices, house prices and oil prices) as predictors for consumer price index inflation increases when such variables experience large shocks. The paper also shows that significant differences prevail in the forecasting models between the USA and the EA. Such differences can be explained by the structure of these respective economies. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

PXI在测控系统中的应用

随着有关PXI总线的规范和产品的推出，由于优良的性能指标和适宜的价格，使其受到各相关行业的广泛关注。对风洞测控系统的结构和系统配置作了具体的阐述，并对PXI总线在具体使用中的效果和特点作了较详细的介绍。     

C-banding pattern and nucleolar organizer regions of Cynoglossus semilaevis Günther, 1873

The C-banding pattern and nucleolar organizer regions of the metaphase chromosomes of Cynoglossus semilaevis are reported. The interstitial regions in all chromosomes including the pair of sex chromosomes had positive C-bands, and the 6th and 12th pairs of chromosomes were entirely stained in most cases. Some chromosomes such as the 1st, 2nd, 7th, 8th, 9th and 10th pairs showed C-bands at centromeric or distal ends. The C-banding heretochromatin occupies 30.03% of the total chromosome surface in C. semilaevis,which is similar to that of amphibians such as Mixophyes fasciolatus (30.2%) and M. schevilli (20.7%), but is rather lower than that of cephalochordate Branchiostoma belcheri (54.3%). Silver staining revealed a single pair of nucleolar organizer regions (NORs) located in the telomeric regions of Chromosome 2. The association of NORs with heterochromatin observed in vertebrates also occurs in C. semilaevis as the telomeric regions of Chromosome 2 are always stained positively with C-banding.     

物理化学实验多媒体课件的设计与应用

论述了物理化学实验课件经过多年的制作实践是如何从内容到方法逐步完善的设计理念 .使完成的物理化学实验课件在教学中得到广泛的应用 ,并收到传统教学所不能获得的教学效果 ,同时也得到了学生和专家以及同行的肯定 .     

热连轧精轧机组温度模型的改进

从实际生产数据入手,研究了温度模型设定精度的现状及设定精度与各影响因素之间的关系,同时还消化了原来的温度模型程序并将其移植到微机上.经大量的离线统计回归分析,提出了一个行之有效的温度模型改进方案.该改进方案的思路同样适合其他热轧生产线.     

Lindelff空间和可分空间的讨论

对Lindel ff空间的闭子空间做了进一步的讨论,并从中给出Lindel ff空间与可分空间之间的关系,指出可分空间不一定是Lindel ff空间.     

论中国历史上少数民族的科技贡献

中国各少数民族自古以来就和汉族一起创造了光辉灿烂的科学技术，做出了应有的贡献．从3个方面论述了历史上少数民族的科技贡献，提出应加强保护少数民族科技和工艺成果，对某些已失传而有价值的科技成果进行复原，研究汉语或国际学术用语中所采用的少数民族语言成分。调研全国习用的生活、生产及食品中少数民族的创造性成果．     

浅谈土工格栅填石路堤质量控制

通过汾柳高速公路土工格栅填石路堤实体工程的实践,论述了土工格栅填石路堤具体的施工工艺及质量控制办法。     

广西香蕉产业发展现状与展望

香蕉是世界上重要的粮食作物和经济作物。香蕉生产周期短、收益高,其产业已成为广西脱贫攻坚和乡村振兴战略布局中不可多得的成熟产业。广西香蕉产业具有自然条件适宜、区位优势明显、规模化程度高、科技支撑力强等发展优势,但同时也存在着品种单一、病虫害严重、寒害频发、收获期集中、管理水平参差不齐、营销方式落后等问题。近年来广西香蕉产业经历了大起大落的发展阶段,即将迎来平稳发展期,可通过加强总体规划、合理布局,加快新品种新技术研发和市场流通体系建设等措施,不断提高香蕉产业的效益。     

近似凸包自适应包围盒碰撞检测方法

针对虚拟装配环境中包围盒碰撞检测存在检测精度差和效率低的问题,设计了粗精结合的分层检测方法。粗检测阶段,采用基于八叉树的球形包围盒进行检测,初步剔除明显不发生碰撞的对象。在精确检测阶段提出近似凸包自适应包围盒算法,基于近似凸包思想提取贴合模型外壳顶点集求解协方差矩阵计算最小包围盒,解决传统方向包围盒算法因三角形面片的尺寸不均匀、导致构造包围盒方向偏移的问题,且构造时间较传统方向包围盒缩短了66%。最后在Unity3D中以液压调平举升平台各部件为研究对象进行实例验证,实验结果表明,本文研究的方法能构造出比传统方向包围盒更加紧密的包围盒,在装配实验执行时间上比使用传统方向包围盒碰撞检测算法加快了22.2%,比使用轴对齐包围盒碰撞检测算法加快了17.4%,能够满足虚拟装配中碰撞检测效率高的要求,且符合使用者实时的自然交互习惯。