Accurate forecasting of the undecided population in a public opinion poll

The problem of pollsters is addressed which is to forecast accurately the final answers of the undecided respondents to the primary question in a public opinion poll. The task is viewed as a pattern‐recognition problem of correlating the answers of the respondents to the peripheral questions in the survey with their primary answers. The underlying pattern is determined with a supervised artificial neural network that is trained using the peripheral answers of the decided respondents whose primary answers are also known. With peripheral answers as inputs, the trained network outputs the most probable primary response of an undecided respondent. For a poll conducted to determine the approval rating of the (former) Philippine president, J. E. Estrada in December 1999 and March 2000, the trained network predicted with a 95% success rate the direct responses of a test population that consists of 24.57% of the decided population who were excluded in the network training set. For the undecided population (22.67% of December respondents; 23.67% of March respondents), the network predicted a final response distribution that is consistent with the approval/disapproval ratio of the decided population. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

纳米氧化锌粉的表面改性研究

以Zn(NO3)2·6H2O和CO(NH2)2为原料,采用均相沉淀法制备纳米氧化锌粉.用扫描电镜对产物粒度大小、形貌进行观察,并对其影响因素进行了探讨.结果表明,在反应温度为120℃,反应时间为2.5h时,所制的纳米氧化锌的产率最大.用不同的表面改性剂对纳米ZnO进行表面改性,粉体不再发生团聚.图6,表7,参5.     

基于代理的校园网计费管理系统

根据目前Cernet校园网典型结构,设计了一种适应性广、通用性强的校园网计费管理系统,探讨了使用代理服务器进行计费的主要功能和工作流程.     

在线固溶条件下的输出辊道受热分析

为满足300系列奥氏体不锈钢轧后在线目溶处理的要求，针对某厂已有设备条件，进行在线固溶处理输出辊道的改造，利用ANSYS有限元分析软件，通过对不同结构和材质条件下输出辊道的受热分析，为输出辊道的改造提供了理论依据。结果表明，将原有的铸铁辊道改为陶瓷辊道能够满足生产的要求。     

UPS网络控制和电压波形显示的研究

对目前在UPS方面研究的焦点问题作了阐述 ,并重点介绍了UPS网络控制系统的实现方法、系统功能和技术特点     

基于特征造型的注塑件CAD/CAE研究

以某电器零件的特征造型与注塑分析模拟为例，介绍了Pro/Engineer的特点以及在注塑件产品开发中的应用。     

THE TRANSFER BEHAVIOUR OF SOME CATIONS AT WATER／NITROBENZENE INTERFACE BY SEMIDIFFERENTIAL CYCLIC VOLTAMMETRY

The transfer of Sr~(2+) and Ba~(2+) ion, facilitated by 18-Crown-6 present in the aqueous phase, and of succinylcholine ion at w/nb interface were investigated by semi-differential cyclic voltammetry. A good polarographic curve of succinylcholine ion dissolved in water was obtained in the system of 0.01 mol/l LiCl (w)——0.01 mol/l TBATPB (nb). The peak current is directly proportional to the concentration of SC~(2+) ion. It can be used for the determination of SC and the detection limit is 1.05×10~(-5) mol/l.The apparent D~w and D~(nb) have been estimated. The transfer of Sr~(2+) and of Ba~(2+) at the interface are facilitated by 18-Crown-6 present in the aqueous phase and the peak current is directly proportional to the concentration of 18-Crown-6 in water. This method can be used for the determination of the complexing agent and for the stability constant of the complex formed in the aqueous phase.All the experimental results are in keeping with the theoretical.     

济源凹陷油源追踪及烃类垂直运移作用

济源凹陷为一中、新生代复合型断陷．下第三系原油为轻质、低硫原油，与下伏中生界（Ｔｔ－Ｊ２）湖沼相生油岩抽提物具有同源性，而与下第三系泥岩抽提物回然相异。后邓断裂是烃类垂直运移的良好通道，中生界生成的烃类沿断裂经过了约３０００－４０００ｍ的垂直运移而聚集成芷。长距离的垂直运移造成了原油中ｒ－蜡烷的富集，作为运移通道的断裂发育时间、规模等控制了浅层油芷的分布．     

冶炼工业废气中SO_2的脱除研究

研究用软锰矿的水悬浮液脱除冶炼工业废气中SO_2的工艺可行性,提出抑制副产物MnS_2O_6生成的途径。     

新型锆质不定形耐火材料的研制

以废旧电熔锆刚玉为主要原料,采用合理的粒度级配,应用复合结合剂和外加剂以凝聚结合的方式研制成功具有高荷重软化温度、高强度、低气孔率、低烧结线变化的新型锆质不定形耐火材料。图4,表4,参3。