The effects of the non-breaking surface wave-induced vertical mixing on the forecast of tropical cyclone tracks

The Weather Research and Forecasting model(WRF)is configured for the region of(15°–41°N,105°–135°E),which covers the same area with the MASNUM(Key Lab.Marine ScienceNumerical Modeling,State Oceanic Administration)wave-tide-circulation coupled operational forecast system.Three numerical experiments are implemented to investigate the effects of the real-time forecasted sea surface temperature(SST)and the nonbreaking wave-induced vertical mixing(Bv)on the track forecast of all 33 tropical cyclones(TC)in the model domain area during 2008 and 2011.The first experiment employs NCEP FNL(NCEP final analysis)SST as WRF’s bottom condition as the Control run,which is also the default setup of WRF.The second and third experiments use real-time forecasted SST from the MASNUM forecast system with and without Bv,respectively.The forecasted track results are compared with Japan Meteorological Agency’s best track data.For 24-h forecast,the averaged TC position error of Experiment with Bv is reduced by 9%compared to the Control experiment,while the forecasted track error of Experiment without Bv is reduced by only2%compared to the Control experiment.For the 48-h forecast,the averaged track errors are reduced by 10%and6%with Bv and without Bv compared to the Control experiment,respectively.These results suggest that the real-time forecasted SST can improve the performance of WRF in forecasting TC track,and the Bv plays an important role in reducing the forecast error of TC track.Comparatively,Bv can improve more on the track of stronger TC.     

硫化铜矿物电子结构的第一性原理研究

基于密度泛函理论的平面波赝势方法,计算黄铜矿、辉铜矿、铜蓝、斑铜矿的电子结构性质,并讨论硫化铜矿物电子结构与其可浮性之间的关系.利用费米能级讨论不同硫化铜矿物参与化学反应的活性位置及其与黄药作用生成不同产物的原因.计算结果表明:黄铜矿禁带宽度为0.99 eV,属于直接带隙p型半导体,而辉铜矿、铜蓝、斑铜矿则为导体.前线轨道计算结果能够很好地解释4种硫化铜矿物氧化性差异.为进一步认清硫化铜矿物可浮性的差异及硫化铜矿物新药剂开发提供理论参考.     

双进口方形分离器气固流动特性的数值模拟

采用RSM湍流模型对双进口方形分离器的气相流场进行数值模拟,得到了分离器内的速度场和压力分布;同时采用拉格朗日模型对方形分离器内固体颗粒的轨迹进行模拟。结果表明:双进口方形分离器内速度场和压力场的对称性较好但气流旋转强度不大且容易衰减;不同粒径、不同位置入射的颗粒轨迹有较大差异,细颗粒入射时分离器内容易形成气流短路现象,颗粒靠近分离器顶部入射时分离器内容易造成上灰环现象,给方形分离器的分离效率带来了不利的因素。将方形分离器筒体的四角改为切形倒角,可以很好地改善分离器的流场,并能有效提高分离器分离效率。     

基于浙江省台风灾害保险数据的农村住房易损性评价

利用浙江省农业政策性保险试点项目中的农村住房保险及理赔数据,定量分析了浙江省2007年圣帕、韦帕及罗莎3场台风灾害期间农村住房投保金额、赔付金额、保额损失率的分县汇总数据,以及与这3场台风的极大风速、过程降水量等致灾因子强度的定量关系.研究发现,浙江省农村住房的台风灾害保险金额损失率,其对数与过程降雨量有着很好的线性相关关系.依据这一关系,建立了浙江省农村住房台风易损性方程并给出相关参数.     

一种新的浮选泡沫图像识别方法

针对灰度共生矩阵法提取的浮选泡沫图像纹理特征相互混叠,不利于聚类和识别的问题,提出一种基于正交保局投影和支持向量机的浮选泡沫图像识别新方法.该方法利用正交保局投影法对原始纹理特征参数进行变换处理,有效改变了不同类别特征参数的聚集程度,并利用支持向量机进行分类.实验结果表明,所提方法的正确识别率能够达到93.5%,与基于最近邻分类器的主元分析法相比,其性能更好.     

Sea surface temperature east of Australia： A predictor of tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific？

The relationship between sea surface temperature (SST) east of Australia and tropical cyclone frequency over the western North Pacific (WNPTCF) is analyzed by use of observation data.The WNPTCF from June to October is correlated negatively to spring SST east of Australia.When the spring SST is in the positive phase,a cyclonic circulation anomaly in the upper troposphere and an anticyclonic circulation anomaly in the lower troposphere prevail over the western North Pacific from June to October,concurrent with an anomalous atmospheric subsidence and an enlarged vertical zonal wind shear.These conditions are unfavorable for tropical cyclone genesis,and thus WNPTCF decreases.The negative phase of the spring SST east of Australia leads to more tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific.The spring SST east of Australia may give rise to simultaneous change in tropical atmospheric circulation via the teleconnection wave train,and then subsequently affect atmospheric circulation variation over the western North Pacific.     

工业炉旋风预燃器煤粉颗粒运动轨迹

在预燃器冷态模型流场内，考虑气流曳引力、重力和Magnus旋转升力，建立颗粒的运动微分方程，并考察颗粒与壁面相互碰撞过程，采用龙格库塔法进行数值求解，得到不同粒径的颗粒在4种流场工部中的运动和停留时间，经计算，还可得出以下结论。⑴颗粒的运动轨迹主要受气相流场分布、颗粒粒径和颗粒初始速度等因素的影响。⑵颗粒粒径较小时，可以忽略上升力和重力的影响，但大颗粒与壁面碰撞后，必须连同考虑颗粒旋转及Magnus升力的作用。⑶选择合适的入口-二次风量比（Q2/Q1）和颗粒的初始速度，可延长颗粒在预燃器内的停留时间，能分离大于30μm的颗粒，该结果能为粉煤旋风预燃器的优化设计提供理论依据。     

旋风除尘器阻力计算的新方法

本文根据旋风除尘器内部流场的理想模型,通过伯努里方程导出了旋风除尘器阻力计算的新公式,经实验表明该公式比其它计算式具有更简单、更精确的特点.     

离子浮选体系的理论研究

本文介绍了离子浮选的理论和应用,并着重探讨了离子浮选系统中竞争离子的临界浓度和目标离子的最大回收率公式。在上述基础上设计了一个计算机软件SIFSAC来帮助选择适宜的捕收剂和浮选工艺条件,分析工艺指标和工艺条件对溶液中离子初始浓度的敏感性。结合实例说明了应用。