明清时期广东地区气候变冷对社会经济发展的影响

通过对比广东15世纪末至19世纪末即LIA期间的气象灾害、战乱、人口发展等几方面的数据,研究了明清时期气候变冷对广东地区社会经济发展的影响,发现这一时期农业生产的衰退、生态环境的恶化、战乱和农民起义的增多、人口发展的减缓以及瘟疫次数的增加,都与气候变冷有明显的相关性.同时指出,气候变冷的各个可能的影响结果之间,又有着密切的联系,它们相互影响,相互作用,严重阻碍了明清时期广东社会经济的正常发展.     

西北太平洋柔鱼资源丰度时空分布的GAM模型分析

根据1996~2001年我国在西北太平洋海域柔鱼生产统计及相关数据,利用GAM模型分析了表温、月份、经纬度等因子对柔鱼资源丰度CPUE的影响.研究认为,经纬度、月份和表温对CPUE时空分布都有较大的影响.160°E以西海域CPUE高,而165°E以东海域低,并主要集中在40°N~43°N海域.8~10月CPUE为最大.不同海域柔鱼分布的适宜表温不相同,150°E以西海域为13~18℃,150°E~165°E海域为14~18℃,165°E~180°E海域为11~14℃.     

复合菌群的构建及其所产MBF絮凝活性的影响因素研究

利用筛选到的MBF产生菌构建出了比单一菌群所产MBF絮凝活性更高的复合菌群—复合2,研究了培养基初始pH值、培养温度、摇床转速、碳源、氮源和接种量等因素对复合2所产MBF絮凝活性的影响。应用实验表明,复合2所产MBF对靛蓝印染废水有较好的去除CODC r和脱色效果。     

浅议常规三轴试验及其参数指标的选用

本文通过对常规三轴试验的具体介绍,根据试验条件和实际工程情况,分析了试验参数指标的选用及试验方法的适用范围,同时,针对试验条件和常规三轴仪对影响抗剪强度的因素进行了具体分析.     

空调冷热源系统选择的模糊综合评判方法

本文将模糊综合评判的思想和方法运用到空调冷热源系统的选择中,建立了空调冷热源系统选择的评价指标体系和综合评判模型。通过该方法可以将定性因素、模糊因素进行量化,解决了传统选择方法中的不足和困难,使得空调冷热源系统的选择变得更加科学化。     

一种简单的市场定位模型研究

市场定位是企业着意配置和挖掘产品和服务的特色,就是寻找差异性。本文从分析市场对产品的特色要求、竞争者所提供的产品的特色以及本企业产品的状况着手,提出并建立了一种市场定位模型,通过对定位模型的阐释,以期能够有助于企业确定自己的市场定位。     

Differences between dynamics factors for interannual and decadal variations of rainfall over the Yangtze River valley during flood seasons

The prediction of rainfall in the Yangtze River valley, especially, during flood seasons is the main means for scientists in China working on and the understanding of rainfall-associated processes is a crucial component of this effort. It can be derived f…     

Some evidence of drying trend over northern China from 1951 to 2004

The surface wetness index, Palmer drought sererity index and the retrieval of soil moisture over China were calculated using monthly precipitation and monthly mean surface air temperature. Based on the contrast analysis of the variation of the above three indices and precipitation, the dry/wet spatio-temporal pattern of northern China in the last 54 years was revealed, and the evidence of drying trend over northern China was analyzed, especially. The results show the following four facts: (1) The drying trend is the main characteristic of the eastern part of Northwest China and the central part of North China since the 1980s and it was enhanced in the last 15 years mainly due to the precipitation decrease and the temperature increase; (2) During the last 54 years, there was only one dry/wet shift at the interdecadal scale occurring in the eastern part of Northwest China and the central part of North China in the late 1970s, which was related to 1977/1978 global abrupt change, whereas there were three shifts in Northeast China, one was in the mid 1990s and the other two were in 1965 and 1983, respectively; (3) Unlike the variation trend of other subregions of northern China, the western part of Northwest China is currently located in a relatively wetting period, which is weak-ened due to the temperature increase; (4) The extreme drought frequency is obviously increasing in the eastern part of Northwest China, the central part of North China and Northeast China since the 1980s, which is closely related to the precipitation decrease and temperature increase in these subregions.     

Climate change and hydrologic process response in the Tarim River Basin over the past 50 years

Climate change and hydrologic process response in the Tarim River Basin over the past 50 years are the focus of more and more researchers＇ attention. In this paper, both temperature and precipitation time series were found to present a monotonic increasing trend using nonparametric tests. Noticeably, a significant step change in both temperature and precipitation time series occurred in 1986. By contrasting the trends of natural water process in headstream and mainstream, we found that it was anthropogenic activities not climate change that caused the river dried up and vegetation degenerated in the lower reaches of Tarim River. The results of gray correlation analysis show that the runoff of higher latitude distributing river is more closely associated with winter snow stocking, while that of lower latitude is more closely related to summer temperature. Runoff in the headstream is more sensitive to precipitation, while that in the mainstream is more sensitive to evaporation. The strong evaporation caused by increasing temperature weakened runoff to some extent in spite of the fact that precipitation increased over the past 50 years.     

心理契约理论与工作满意度影响因素的研究

按照心理契约理论,对影响工作满意度的因素及其变化进行了假设和验证。即就服务年限分类的满意度而言,服务年限在1年以内的员工,其工作满意度最高,服务年限在1-2年的最低,其后则又随着服务年限的增加逐渐上升。市场流动性好的员工工作满意度较低,各项评价都要低于流动性较差的员工。工作满意度低的员工离职倾向比较高。结果部分地支持了这个假设。