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1.
建立了由供应商、制造商、分销商构成的三级供应链上的合作博弈模型,求出了合作博弈模型下各参与人的期望收益——Shapley值,引入Shapley值不确定性的概念,对参与人收益的风险进行了计算。通过与非合作情况进行对比,探讨了不同参与人收益及风险的情况,分析了合作条件下分配方式的合理性。  相似文献   

2.
不完全信息静态博弈中,往往假定参与者知道其他参与者类型的概率分布,然而很多时候这种概率分布很难甚至根本无法获得,参与人只能主观判断确定概率分布.论文使用粗糙集方法处理这种不确定性,参与人依赖对其他参与人类型的信息判断,计算其他参与人类型的近似精度,以此建立不完全信息静态博弈的粗集模型并定义粗糙静态均衡,最后通过古诺竞争模型说明该模型的运用.  相似文献   

3.
建立以货主和货代为代表的完全信息静态博弈模型.结果显示,货主、船东等建立委托代理关系,配以适当的监管机制,可以更加有效地降低风险.应用贝叶斯法则和效用理论,建立不完全信息动态博弈,主要分析船公司风险,旨在为相关企业进行风险分析提供参考.  相似文献   

4.
从混合审计博弈策略和不完全信息出发,研究审计期望收益及策略矩阵,分析基于被审计对象的违规倾向、利益转移的审计风险类型及关系,构建了基于不完全信息的扩展审计博弈模型.将定性分析与定量研究相结合,实现博弈策略在不完全信息和隐藏行为下的比较与选择,提高了审计博弈风险分析、策略择优的准确性和可信度.  相似文献   

5.
由于博弈双方(环保监督机构和排污企业)在博弈过程中具有不完全信息及博弈参与人有限理性的特征,博弈双方均以追求自身利益最大化为目标.基于此特点本文运用演化博弈理论,在有无政府主动干预的两种状态下进行监察分析,在博弈模型中引入企业综合声誉损失因子、社会污染事件概率因子以提高模型精度.然后运用常微分方程数值解理论对模型中的复制动态方程进行求解,根据各均衡点雅可比矩阵的特征值求得模型的演化稳定策略(Evolutionary Stable Strategy, ESS),在演化稳定策略中寻找博弈各方的纳什均衡,随后讨论了模型中综合声誉损失因子及各变量与现实治污策略的相关性及可行性,以便为监察部门提供相对合理的建议和监督调控策略.  相似文献   

6.
应用现代经济博弈理论,就我国水资源管理中,参与行为主体(国家与排污企业、国家与农业用水单位、国家与城市用水单位)根据自身利益偏好,所作的策略选择与均衡进行了分析研究,并构造了不同情况下(完全信息静态博弈、完全信息动态博弈、不完全信息静态博弈)的用水定价模型,超标排污和违法排污的罚款模型。以期为我国水资源的科学管理提供了一个理论依据。  相似文献   

7.
应用现代经济博弈理论,就我国水资源管理中,参与行为主体(国家与排污企业、国家与农业用水单位、国家与城市用水单位)根据自身利益偏好,所作的策略选择与均衡进行了分析研究,并构造了不同情况下(完全信息静态博弈、完全信息动态博弈、不完全信息静态博弈)的用水定价模型,超标排污和违法排污的罚款模型。以期为我国水资源的科学管理提供了一个理论依据。  相似文献   

8.
文章针对我国餐饮业发展中存在的主要问题,分析了餐饮企业间合作的必要性,构建了完全信息静态博弈模型、完全信息动态博弈模型以及古诺模型和斯坦克尔伯格模型,对餐饮企业间的合作博弈与非合作博弈进行了量化分析;在此基础上,得出合作是我国餐饮企业间的理性选择,也是我国餐饮业发展和餐饮企业之间竞争的导向。  相似文献   

9.
针对流通供应链内普遍存在的产品价格信息不对称现象,建立了市场运营商与批发商之间的主从博弈模型。通过分析在信息不对称、对称和部分对称3种情况下双方的动态博弈过程,发现批发商具有隐藏交易价格的动机,运营商具有希望批发商共享真实交易价格的动机。为实现有效的预测数据共享,在原有非合作理论基础上引入信任因子到廉价谈话预测数据的博弈模型中建立了信任嵌入模型,合理解释了实际供应链中可信预测数据共享存在并较好地预测了供应链中双方的合作行为。  相似文献   

10.
以制造企业与物流企业间的供应链博弈为中心,分析了制造企业与物流企业的合作博弈,得出供应链合作的可能性。在此基础上,构建不完全信息动态博弈模型,提出了供应链合作中的投机行为及相应的惩罚机制,以及促进制造企业与物流企业供应链合作的措施。  相似文献   

11.
Language markedness is a common phenomenon in languages, and is reflected from hearing, vision and sense, i.e. the variation in the three aspects such as phonology, morphology and semantics. This paper focuses on the interpretation of markedness in language use following the three perspectives, i.e. pragmatic interpretation, psychological interpretation and cognitive interpretation, with an aim to define the function of markedness.  相似文献   

12.
The discovery of the prolific Ordovician Red River reservoirs in 1995 in southeastern Saskatchewan was the catalyst for extensive exploration activity which resulted in the discovery of more than 15 new Red River pools. The best yields of Red River production to date have been from dolomite reservoirs. Understanding the processes of dolomitization is, therefore, crucial for the prediction of the connectivity, spatial distribution and heterogeneity of dolomite reservoirs.The Red River reservoirs in the Midale area consist of 3~4 thin dolomitized zones, with a total thickness of about 20 m, which occur at the top of the Yeoman Formation. Two types of replacement dolomite were recognized in the Red River reservoir: dolomitized burrow infills and dolomitized host matrix. The spatial distribution of dolomite suggests that burrowing organisms played an important role in facilitating the fluid flow in the backfilled sediments. This resulted in penecontemporaneous dolomitization of burrow infills by normal seawater. The dolomite in the host matrix is interpreted as having occurred at shallow burial by evaporitic seawater during precipitation of Lake Almar anhydrite that immediately overlies the Yeoman Formation. However, the low δ18O values of dolomited burrow infills (-5.9‰~ -7.8‰, PDB) and matrix dolomites (-6.6‰~ -8.1‰, avg. -7.4‰ PDB) compared to the estimated values for the late Ordovician marine dolomite could be attributed to modification and alteration of dolomite at higher temperatures during deeper burial, which could also be responsible for its 87Sr/86Sr ratios (0.7084~0.7088) that are higher than suggested for the late Ordovician seawaters (0.7078~0.7080). The trace amounts of saddle dolomite cement in the Red River carbonates are probably related to "cannibalization" of earlier replacement dolomite during the chemical compaction.  相似文献   

13.
AcomputergeneratorforrandomlylayeredstructuresYUJia shun1,2,HEZhen hua2(1.TheInstituteofGeologicalandNuclearSciences,NewZealand;2.StateKeyLaboratoryofOilandGasReservoirGeologyandExploitation,ChengduUniversityofTechnology,China)Abstract:Analgorithmisintrod…  相似文献   

14.
理论推导与室内实验相结合,建立了低渗透非均质砂岩油藏启动压力梯度确定方法。首先借助油藏流场与电场相似的原理,推导了非均质砂岩油藏启动压力梯度计算公式。其次基于稳定流实验方法,建立了非均质砂岩油藏启动压力梯度测试方法。结果表明:低渗透非均质砂岩油藏的启动压力梯度确定遵循两个等效原则。平面非均质油藏的启动压力梯度等于各级渗透率段的启动压力梯度关于长度的加权平均;纵向非均质油藏的启动压力梯度等于各渗透率层的启动压力梯度关于渗透率与渗流面积乘积的加权平均。研究成果可用于有效指导低渗透非均质砂岩油藏的合理井距确定,促进该类油藏的高效开发。  相似文献   

15.
As an American modern novelist who were famous in the literary world, Hemingway was not a person who always followed the trend but a sharp observer. At the same time, he was a tragedy maestro, he paid great attention on existence, fate and end-result. The dramatis personae's tragedy of his works was an extreme limit by all means tragedy on the meaning of fearless challenge that failed. The beauty of tragedy was not produced on the destruction of life, but now this kind of value was in the impact activity. They performed for the reader about the tragedy on challenging for the limit and the death.  相似文献   

16.
本文叙述了对海南岛及其毗邻大陆边缘白垩纪到第四纪地层岩石进行古地磁研究的全部工作过程。通过分析岩石中剩余磁矢量的磁偏角及磁倾角的变化,提出海南岛白垩纪以来经历的构造演化模式如下:早期伴随顺时针旋转而向南迁移,后期伴随逆时针转动并向北运移。联系该地区及邻区的地质、地球物理资料,对海南岛上述的构造地体运动提出以下认识:北部湾内早期有一拉张作用,主要是该作用使湾内地壳显著伸长减薄,形成北部湾盆地。从而导致了海南岛的早期构造运动,而海南岛后期的构造运动则主要是受南海海底扩张的影响。海南地体运动规律的阐明对于了解北部湾油气盆地的形成演化有重要的理论和实际意义。  相似文献   

17.
There are numerous geometric objects stored in the spatial databases. An importance function in a spatial database is that users can browse the geometric objects as a map efficiently. Thus the spatial database should display the geometric objects users concern about swiftly onto the display window. This process includes two operations:retrieve data from database and then draw them onto screen. Accordingly, to improve the efficiency, we should try to reduce time of both retrieving object and displaying them. The former can be achieved with the aid of spatial index such as R-tree, the latter require to simplify the objects. Simplification means that objects are shown with sufficient but not with unnecessary detail which depend on the scale of browse. So the major problem is how to retrieve data at different detail level efficiently. This paper introduces the implementation of a multi-scale index in the spatial database SISP (Spatial Information Shared Platform) which is generalized from R-tree. The difference between the generalization and the R-tree lies on two facets: One is that every node and geometric object in the generalization is assigned with a importance value which denote the importance of them, and every vertex in the objects are assigned with a importance value,too. The importance value can be use to decide which data should be retrieve from disk in a query. The other difference is that geometric objects in the generalization are divided into one or more sub-blocks, and vertexes are total ordered by their importance value. With the help of the generalized R-tree, one can easily retrieve data at different detail levels.Some experiments are performed on real-life data to evaluate the performance of solutions that separately use normal spatial index and multi-scale spatial index. The results show that the solution using multi-scale index in SISP is satisfying.  相似文献   

18.
19.
The elongation method,originally proposed by Imamura was further developed for many years in our group.As a method towards O(N)with high efficiency and high accuracy for any dimensional systems.This treatment designed for one-dimensional(ID)polymers is now available for three-dimensional(3D)systems,but geometry optimization is now possible only for 1D-systems.As an approach toward post-Hartree-Fock,it was also extended to  相似文献   

20.
Various applications relevant to the exciton dynamics,such as the organic solar cell,the large-area organic light-emitting diodes and the thermoelectricity,are operating under temperature gradient.The potential abnormal behavior of the exicton dynamics driven by the temperature difference may affect the efficiency and performance of the corresponding devices.In the above situations,the exciton dynamics under temperature difference is mixed with  相似文献   

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