| 基于IOWA算子的安徽省物流需求组合预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 李阳阳,杨桂元,张槟.基于IOWA算子的安徽省物流需求组合预测[J].枣庄师专学报,2013(2):55-59. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李阳阳 杨桂元 张槟 |
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| 作者单位： | 安徽财经大学统计与应用数学学院,安徽蚌埠233030 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目（项目编号：12BTJ008）. |
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| 摘 要： | 使用安徽省1988-2011年物流货运量的历史数据,分别采用多元回归、多项式拟合回归及指数曲线回归预测方法建立了安徽省物流需求的预测模型.在此基础上,建立了基于IOWA算子的组合预测模型和预测误差评价指标体系,最后应用此模型对安徽省未来10年的物流需求进行了预测.结果表明,该组合预测模型可作为安徽省物流需求预测的有效工具.
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| 关 键 词： | 物流货运量 IOWA算子 组合预测 |
A Combinatorial Forecasting Model of Logistics Demand of Anhui Province Based on IOWA |
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| LI Yang - yang,YANG Gui - yuan,ZHANG bin.A Combinatorial Forecasting Model of Logistics Demand of Anhui Province Based on IOWA[J].Journal of Zaozhuang Teachers' College,2013(2):55-59. |
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| Authors: | LI Yang - yang YANG Gui - yuan ZHANG bin |
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| Institution: | (Institute of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu 233030, China) |
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| Abstract: | Using the data of logistics cargo of Anhui province from 1988 to 2011, by multiple regression,Polynomial regression and exponential regression,it constructed a forecasting model of Anhui province. Then, it constructed combinatorial forecasting model and index system of forecasting deviation based on IOWA, finally applied this model to predict logistics cargo of Anhui province in the next 10 years. The results show that this model is an effective forecasting tool. |
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| Keywords: | Logistics cargo IOWA Combinatorial Forecasting |
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