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Regional Prediction of Impending Debris Flow Based on Doppler Weather Radar
作者姓名:JIANG  Yuhong  WEI  Fangqiang  ZHANG  Jinghong  GU  Linkang  DENG  Bo  LIU  Hongjiang
作者单位:[1]Key Laboratory of Mountain Hazards and Surface Process, Chinese Academy of Sciences/Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610041, Sichuan, China [2]Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China [3]Hainan Meteorological and Ecological Academy, Haikou 570203, Hainan, China [4]Liangshan Meteorological Observatory, Xichang 615000, Sichuan, China
基金项目:Supported by the Knowledge Innovation Program of Chinese Academy Sciences (KZX3-SW-352) and Frontier Program of Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, CAS (C3200307)
摘    要:Debris flow prediction is one of the important means to reduce the loss caused by debris flow. This paper built a regional prediction model of impending debris flow based on regional environmental background (including topography, geology, land use, and etc.), rainfall and debris flow data. A system of regional prediction of impending debris flow was set up on ArcGIS 9.0 platform according to the model. The system used forecast precipitation data of Doppler weather radar and observational precipitation data as its input data. It could provide a prediction about the possibility of debris flow one to three hours before it happened, and was put into use in Liangshan Meteorological Observatory in Sichuan province in the monsoon of 2006.

关 键 词:泥石流  气象预报  多普勒气象雷达  区域预报
文章编号:1007-1202(2007)04-0627-06
收稿时间:16 October 2006
修稿时间:2006-10-16

Regional prediction of impending debris flow based on Doppler weather radar
JIANG Yuhong WEI Fangqiang ZHANG Jinghong GU Linkang DENG Bo LIU Hongjiang.Regional Prediction of Impending Debris Flow Based on Doppler Weather Radar[J].Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences,2007,12(4):627-632.
Authors:Jiang Yuhong  Wei Fangqiang  Zhang Jinghong  Gu Linkang  Deng Bo  Liu Hongjiang
Institution:(1) Key Laboratory of Mountain Hazards and Surface Process, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China;(2) Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China;(3) Hainan Meteorological and Ecological Academy, Haikou, 570203, Hainan, China;(4) Liangshan Meteorological Observatory, Xichang, 615000, Sichuan, China;(5) Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu, 610041, Sichuan, China
Abstract:Debris flow prediction is one of the important means to re-duce the loss caused by debris flow. This paper built a regional predic-tion model of impending debris flow based on regional environmental background(including topography,geology,land use,and etc.) ,rainfall and debris flow data. A system of regional prediction of impending de-bris flow was set up on ArcGIS 9.0 platform according to the model. The system used forecast precipitation data of Doppler weather radar and observational precipitation data as its input data. It could provide a prediction about the possibility of debris flow one to three hours before it happened,and was put into use in Liangshan Meteorological Obser-vatory in Sichuan province in the monsoon of 2006.
Keywords:Doppler weather radar  debris flow  impending  prediction
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