机群作战序贯活动的打击周期评估方法

针对动态、不确定环境下机群打击目标所需时间评估问题,构建了机群作战活动的串行、并行与串并混合三种典型序贯活动组织结构;在以作战活动所需时间为常量的打击周期评估的基础上,针对动态性和不确定性,从作战活动所需时间为随机变量和服从正态分布两个方面,分别建立了串行、并行与串并混合三种情况下的打击周期概率密度函数、数学期望和方差的解析计算模型.最后,仿真计算了典型序贯活动示例下的机群打击周期,验证了评估方法的适用性和有效性.

The evaluation method of kill-cycle time for sequential operating activity of aircraft fleet

Aiming at evaluation of requested time from find to engage target in dynamic and uncertainty environment for aircraft fleet, three typical organizations of sequential activity are established, including serial, parallel and serial-parallel activities. The kill-cycle time is evaluated firstly when each activity time requested is constant value. Considering the dynamic and uncertainty environment, the evaluation models of kill-cycle time for serial, parallel and serial-parallel activity organizations are built separately, which assumed that each activity time requested is random or obeys normal distribution. The models include density function, mathematical expectation and variance. Finally, the instance of the kill-cycle time evaluation in typical sequential operating activity of aircraft fleet is simulated, which proves the evaluation method is applicable and validity.