| 用可持续发展度来预测评价通化地区的钢铁工业 |
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| 引用本文： | 陆卫平,郝经伟,李士琦.用可持续发展度来预测评价通化地区的钢铁工业[J].北京科技大学学报,2005,27(5):627-630. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陆卫平 郝经伟 李士琦 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京科技大学冶金与生态工程学院,北京100083 |
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| 基金项目： | 吉林省人民政府冶金行业管理办公室项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据有关政策、法规和通化地区生态环境及经济结构等因素,选择5类4层24项指标,构成通化地区可持续发展度指标体系.采用专家评分方法,建立层次加权组合法的多指标综合测算模型,预测评价通化地区钢铁工业对生态环境和社会经济的影响,并对2010年和2020年通化地区可持续发展度给出了定量评价,验证各项指标的合理性.
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| 关 键 词： | 可持续发展度 预测评价 通化地区 钢铁工业 持续发展度 预测评价 通化地区 钢铁工业 development degree sustainable Tonghua area iron and steel industry evaluation 合理性 验证 定量评价 影响 经济结构 环境和社会 生态环境 测算模型 综合 多指标 组合法 |
| 收稿时间： | 2004-09-14 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-05-20 |
Forecast and evaluation of iron and steel industry in Tonghua area by sustainable development degree |
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| LU Weiping, HA O Jingwei, LI Shiqi.Forecast and evaluation of iron and steel industry in Tonghua area by sustainable development degree[J].Journal of University of Science and Technology Beijing,2005,27(5):627-630. |
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| Authors: | LU Weiping HA O Jingwei LI Shiqi |
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| Institution: | Metallurgical and Ecological Engineering School, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China |
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| Abstract: | According to the related policies and codes of China and the factors of ecological condition and economic structure in Tonghua area, five kinds and four layers of twenty-four indexes were chosen to construct an index system of sustainable development degree in Tonghua area. The method of expert point rating was adopted to establish a weighted array of the multi-index integrating measurement model so as to forecast and evaluate the effect of iron and steel industry in Tonghua area on ecological condition and social economy. The sustainable development degrees in Tonghua area in 2010 and 2020 were evaluated quantitatively and the rationality of all indexes was verified. |
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| Keywords: | sustainable development degree forecast and evaluation Tonghua area iron and steel industry |
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