现代化战争的复杂性

战争系统是典型的复杂巨系统之一，对战争系统的研究是系统科学研究的一个重要分支。文章结合系统科学、复杂性科学和军事科学的知识，对现代化战争的复杂性进行了研究。首先阐述了现代化战争的概念以及特点，综述了国内外对系统复杂性研究的状况，然后从相互作用、战争手段的多样性以及不确定性三个方面对现代化战争复杂性的产生原因进行了探讨，并分析了现代化战争复杂性的三个重要表现形式，即非线性、涌现性和流动性。最后指出：复杂性给研究战争带来了很大的困难，也提供了崭新的视角；现代化战争复杂性的研究是一个复杂的过程，复杂适应系统理论和从定性到定量的综合集成方法都对我们具有重要的作用。

The Complexity of Modern War

The war system is one of the typical complex giant systems. The research on it is an important branch of systemized scientific research. By integrating the knowledge of system science, complex science and military science, the research on the complexity of modern war is conducted. Firstly, the definition and main features of modern war are recounted. Then the research situation of system complexity in China and abroad is summarized. Next, the authors carry out discussion to analyze the final reason for the complexity of modern war from the aspects of interaction, diversity of war resorts, and uncertainty. At the same time, it is analyzed the three vital representing forms of the complexity of modern war, i.e. non-linearity, emergency and fluid. Eventually, the authors draw conclusion as follows: complexity brings great difficulty to the research on modern war and provides new visual angle as well. The research on the modern war complexity is a complicated process. The theory of complex adaptive system and metasynthesis from qualitative to quantitative both play an important role in our research.