中国区域物流差异发展趋势分析基于Theil指数的实证研究

在开放经济格局下,我国经济发展的区域间差异明显,相应地,区域间物流水平在一定程度上也明显不同.研究国内区域间物流差异的发展趋势,对改进物流工作和了解国内经济发展的区域性差异有实际参考意义.本文利用2009～2018年全国31个省级区域的时序数据,结合Theil指数模型构建了分析区域物流差异发展的计量分析体系.结合区域经济发展的相关指标数据,深入分析了区域间物流差异发展趋势的情况.研究结果表明:2009～2018年期间,我国东、中、西部地区物流发展差异性不断扩大,受到资源禀赋、政策颁布实施情况、区域经济发展水平、市场开放度的差异等方面的影响,区域物流差异发展明显,各地区应首先关注物流发展的内部差异问题,再考虑向外部拓展发展,不同区域要结合自身物流业发展实际情况寻找适合的机遇,继而提高本区域物流产业的整体竞争力.

Analysis on the Development Trend of Regional Logistics Differences in ChinaAn Empirical Study Based on Theil Index

Under the open model there is obvious regional difference in China''s economic development, accordingly, the regional difference in logistics development is also significant. Study of the development of regional logistics difference has the practical reference significance for improving the logistics work and investigating the regional differences of domestic economic development. This article uses the time-series data (2009~2018) from China''s 31 provincial regions, combined the Theil index model to build a quantitative analysis system for analyzing the development of regional logistics differences. The relevant indicator data of development is used to deeply analyze the development trends of regional logistics differences. The research results show that, the current differences in logistics development in the eastern, central, and western regions of China are constantly expanding. Due to the influence of resource endowments, policy implementation, regional economic development levels, and differences in market openness, the development of regional logistics differences is obvious. All regions should first pay attention to the internal differences in logistics development, and then consider expanding to the outside. Different regions should combine their own logistics industry development to find suitable opportunities, and then improve the overall competitiveness of the logistics industry in the region.