Estimation of Partially Linear Panel Data Models with Cross-Sectional Dependence

Journal of Systems Science and Complexity - This paper studies the estimation of the partially linear panel data models, allowing for cross-sectional dependence through a common factors structure....     

环境信息披露、技术创新投入与企业高质量发展基于制造业上市公司的经验证据

在我国经济发展进入新常态的背景下，如何推进经济高质量发展成为经济社会发展的主要任务,“创新、协调、绿色、开放、共享”五大发展理念，是实现高质量发展的必由之路。本文从全要素生产率的视角出发，系统地剖析了环境信息披露、技术创新投入对制造业企业发展质量的影响及作用机理，实证结果表明：环境信息披露促进企业高质量发展；技术创新投入具有滞后性，在短期内不会带来企业发展质量的提升；但技术创新投入对环境信息披露与企业发展质量的关系具有正向调节作用；基于产权异质性的结果显示，这种正向调节作用在非国有企业中更显著。     

考虑氯离子侵蚀时变劣化效应的近海斜拉桥地震易损性分析

为研究氯离子侵蚀对近海大型桥梁地震易损性的时变影响规律,以某近海斜拉桥为对象,建立非线性数值模型并开展增量动力分析,获得主塔等构件及桥梁系统的时变易损性曲线.结果表明,材料腐蚀会导致构件及结构的损伤概率出现不同程度的增加.桥梁结构第1阶自振周期对应的谱加速度Sa(T1)为0.3g时,主塔严重损伤的概率在0、25、50、75、100a五种服役时间下分别为0、8.9％、12.1％、22.1％和35.1％.不同构件的损伤概率差异显著,服役时间为100 a,Sa(T1)= 0.15g时,主塔、桥墩、桩、支座、拉索严重损伤的概率分别为0、0、21.0％、97.4％、6.4％.对于轻微损伤、中等损伤及严重损伤状态,系统易损性主要取决于支座的损伤概率;完全破坏状态则主要取决于桩的损伤概率.因此应重视沿海桥梁抗震性能的时变劣化,在桥梁设计中考虑环境侵蚀的影响.     

R型半胱氨酸体系电荷转移百分数的理论计算

采用密度泛函理论中的CAM-B3LYP方法, 在6-31G(d)基组水平上优化气相条件下R型半胱氨酸(R-Cys)分子的几何构型, 理论研究电子激发过程中R-Cys体系片段间的电荷转移特征, 并基于弛豫与非弛豫激发态密度计算片段间的电荷转移百分数. 结果表明: 对于SH片段, S0到S3的电荷转移百分数为57.96%； 对于COOH片段, S0到S1~S5各激发态的电荷转移百分数均为负值, 二者电荷转移的定性结果一致； 对于NH2片段, S0到S1和S4的电荷转移百分数分别为6.98%和31.45%.     

热河生物群窃蛋龙类的发现及研究进展

窃蛋龙类是一类形态特殊的兽脚类恐龙，它们的头骨高度特化，而且具有护卵习性。窃蛋龙类有很多特征与鸟类相似，对研究鸟类起源具有重要意义。由于长时间没有发现早期物种，窃蛋龙类在兽脚类恐龙的系统发育位置还存在很多争议。20世纪90年代以来，在中国辽宁西部早白垩世热河生物群发现以尾羽龙科为代表的早期窃蛋龙类，部分尾羽龙科恐龙的化石标本还保存有羽毛等软组织和胃石，为研究窃蛋龙类的早期演化、生活习性、羽毛及其他软组织演化等提供了重要信息。2019年研究的干戚刑天龙为窃蛋龙类手部和胸骨的演化提供了新的认识。     

烟支硬度检测结果影响因素分析

为探究烟支硬度检测结果的影响因素,对烟支物理指标检测方案进行优化,提升卷烟质量监督水平.本试验以3类卷烟泰山(东方)为试验材料,分别设计不同检测方案、挡烟板位置、预压时间、压缩时间、压缩速度、环境湿度、贮存时间来对烟支硬度进行测定.烟支检测全项时硬度明显高于单独检测出的硬度;随挡烟板位置的增加,烟支硬度检测值先下降再上升;预压时间、压缩速度对烟支硬度检测结果影响不显著;不同的测试环境湿度会引起烟支水分变化,进而导致烟支硬度检测值产生变化;1个月内硬度不会发生明显变化,但是随着贮存时间延长而增长.应适当优化烟支物理指标检测顺序或方案,设置挡烟板位置为距离接嘴端55 mm,降低测定环境湿度为60％±2％,减少烟支贮存时间或控制贮存环境湿度,及时维护测定设备,以提升质量监督水平.     

乡村振兴绩效评价:意义、维度与路径

2018年,中共中央、国务院印发《中国乡村振兴战略规划(2018-2022年)》,全面部署和布局乡村振兴战略.文章基于政府绩效评价的理念和方法,构建乡村振兴绩效评价指标体系,明确评价维度,为实现乡村振兴、城乡融合发展提供价值导向、度量体系和动力工具.该评价维度包涵资源投入、过程监管、目标实现情况和社会满意度四个方面.文章指出,相关单位以绩效评价推进乡村振兴时应注重顶层设计,强化部门协同,构建评价体系,引入第三方评价主体,凸显农民获得感.     

传统中药百药煎中没食子酸测定方法的研究

没食子酸是传统中药百药煎的主要成分之一,本文开展了HPLC法测定百药煎中没食子酸含量的方法学研究。通过试验考察了提取溶剂、提取体积、提取时间、提取次数对没食子酸含量测定结果的影响,确定了最优的提取条件(20 mL 50%甲醇为提取溶剂,超声提取20 min,提取一次)。在此提取条件下,开展了HPLC测定法的线性范围、仪器精密度试验、溶液稳定性试验、重复性试验、准确度(回收率)试验和耐用性试验等研究,结果表明本文开发的HPLC是传统中药百药煎中没食子酸含量测定的良好方法。     

Bidirectional Feedback Dynamic Particle Filter with Big Data for the Particle Degeneracy Problem

Particle Filter(PF) is a data assimilation method to solve recursive state estimation problem which does not depend on the assumption of Gaussian noise, and is able to be applied for various systems even with non-linear and non-Gaussian noise. However, while applying PF in dynamic systems, PF undergoes particle degeneracy,sample impoverishment, and problems of high computational complexity. Rapidly developing sensing technologies are providing highly convenient availability of real-time big traffic data from the system under study like never before. Moreover, some sensors can even receive control commands to adjust their monitoring parameters. To address these problems, a bidirectional dynamic data-driven improvement framework for PF(B3 DPF) is proposed.The B3 DPF enhances feedback between the simulation model and the big traffic data collected by the sensors,which means the execution strategies(sensor data management, parameters used in the weight computation,resampling) of B3 DPF can be optimized based on the simulation results and the types and dimensions of traffic data injected into B3 DPF can be adjusted dynamically. The first experiment indicates that the B3 DPF overcomes particle degeneracy and sample impoverishment problems and accurately estimates the state at a faster speed than the normal PF. More importantly, the new method has higher accuracy for multidimensional random systems.In the rest of experiments, the proposed framework is applied to estimate the traffic state on a real road network and obtains satisfactory results. More experiments can be designed to validate the universal properties of B3 DPF.     

Quantitative Analysis of Multi-Recovery-Based Intrusion Tolerance Model

Quantitative analysis has always been a difficult problem in security analysis of intrusion tolerance systems. An intrusion tolerance model based on multiple recovery mechanisms is introduced in this paper and how to quantify the security attributes of the model is proposed. A state transition model with recovery states more accurately describes the dynamic behavior of the system. Considering that recovery mechanisms have a great impact on the security performance of the system, we set up the cost models corresponding to different recovery mechanisms. We propose a feasible security measure based on mean cost to security failure in order to evaluate the system cost during the recovery phase. The experimental results confirmed the feasibility of the proposed methods.