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Anthropogenic ocean acidification over the twenty-first century and its impact on calcifying organisms 总被引:15,自引:0,他引:15
Orr JC Fabry VJ Aumont O Bopp L Doney SC Feely RA Gnanadesikan A Gruber N Ishida A Joos F Key RM Lindsay K Maier-Reimer E Matear R Monfray P Mouchet A Najjar RG Plattner GK Rodgers KB Sabine CL Sarmiento JL Schlitzer R Slater RD Totterdell IJ Weirig MF Yamanaka Y Yool A 《Nature》2005,437(7059):681-686
Today's surface ocean is saturated with respect to calcium carbonate, but increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations are reducing ocean pH and carbonate ion concentrations, and thus the level of calcium carbonate saturation. Experimental evidence suggests that if these trends continue, key marine organisms--such as corals and some plankton--will have difficulty maintaining their external calcium carbonate skeletons. Here we use 13 models of the ocean-carbon cycle to assess calcium carbonate saturation under the IS92a 'business-as-usual' scenario for future emissions of anthropogenic carbon dioxide. In our projections, Southern Ocean surface waters will begin to become undersaturated with respect to aragonite, a metastable form of calcium carbonate, by the year 2050. By 2100, this undersaturation could extend throughout the entire Southern Ocean and into the subarctic Pacific Ocean. When live pteropods were exposed to our predicted level of undersaturation during a two-day shipboard experiment, their aragonite shells showed notable dissolution. Our findings indicate that conditions detrimental to high-latitude ecosystems could develop within decades, not centuries as suggested previously. 相似文献
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Acceleration of global warming due to carbon-cycle feedbacks in a coupled climate model 总被引:111,自引:0,他引:111
The continued increase in the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide due to anthropogenic emissions is predicted to lead to significant changes in climate. About half of the current emissions are being absorbed by the ocean and by land ecosystems, but this absorption is sensitive to climate as well as to atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations, creating a feedback loop. General circulation models have generally excluded the feedback between climate and the biosphere, using static vegetation distributions and CO2 concentrations from simple carbon-cycle models that do not include climate change. Here we present results from a fully coupled, three-dimensional carbon-climate model, indicating that carbon-cycle feedbacks could significantly accelerate climate change over the twenty-first century. We find that under a 'business as usual' scenario, the terrestrial biosphere acts as an overall carbon sink until about 2050, but turns into a source thereafter. By 2100, the ocean uptake rate of 5 Gt C yr(-1) is balanced by the terrestrial carbon source, and atmospheric CO2 concentrations are 250 p.p.m.v. higher in our fully coupled simulation than in uncoupled carbon models, resulting in a global-mean warming of 5.5 K, as compared to 4 K without the carbon-cycle feedback. 相似文献
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Zusammenfassung Raupen vonSmerinthus ocellata L. im dritten bis fünften Larvenstadium zeigen im Phototaxisversuch unregelmäsig periodische Umkehr der Kriechrichtung (Fig. 1). Aus der weiteren Analyse der experimentellen Daten ergibt sich, dass dieser Richtungswechsel in der Mehrzahl der Fälle durch einen tatsächlichen Umschlag des Richtungssinnes der Phototaxis verursacht wird. 相似文献
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