新零售目标产品的精准需求分析与预测

首先,借助SPSS软件、R软件,结合单因素方差分析法和深层次回归分析法研究了零售商品单款单色(SKC)销售量的影响因素及其作用效力;然后,借助R软件灰色预测了某目标小类的销售量,借助Excel软件结合平均绝对百分比误差法得到了预测数据的精准度;最后,将预测模型用于预测某目标小类未来的销售量和库存量.结果 表明,销售方式对零售商品SKC销售量具有显著影响;零售商品SKC销售量各影响因素按影响程度由大到小排序为库存、折扣和售价;目标小类各用平均绝对百分比误差大多小于1,最小为0,可认为模型的预测精度较高.对某目标小类未来的销售量和库存量的预测结果显示,该小类存来明显的供大于求现象,需要适当调整库存管理策略.     

基于MSP430的多功能信号发生器设计

针对一般信号发生器存在价格昂贵、便携性差,且在特定场合产生信号针对性不强等问题,基于直接数字频率合成原理设计了一种多功能信号发生器.信号发生器以MSP430F149单片机为控制核心,利用AD9852芯片产生1 Hz～20 MHz的正弦信号及AM、ASK、BPSK、FSK等多种调制信号.整个系统结构紧凑,具有良好的人机交互界面,电路简单,功能强大,具有较好的稳定性和抗干扰性能,使用方便.     

免疫缺陷大鼠模型的研究进展

免疫缺陷动物模型是指通过筛选自发突变或者基因工程改造建立的缺失一种或多种免疫系统组分，并用于生物医学研究的动物模型。免疫缺陷小鼠模型发展较为成熟，为人源化、患者来源异种移植(patient-derived xenograft, PDX)、干细胞移植以及传染性疾病等研究提供了良好的工具。与小鼠相比，大鼠具有体型更大，代谢和生理与人更接近，更易进行手术操作、样本获取，以及长期应用于临床前毒理和药理的评估等优势。因此，近年来出现了各种免疫缺陷大鼠模型。文章通过动物模型之间的比较，着重综述了免疫缺陷大鼠模型的最新进展，并展望其在干细胞研究和抗肿瘤治疗中的应用前景。     

融媒体背景下传统民营科技型企业的互联网转型:协同进化视角

借助隐喻手段,基于融媒体发展背景,以协同进化为理论依据,剖析传统民营科技型企业的互联网转型过程,总结机理与路径,提出协同进化式转型的理论模型.以千城智联(上海)网络科技有限公司为案例企业,分析其与地方电视台的协同进化过程,研究发现:①基因改变意味着组织认知模式的变化,具体表现是互联网思维的建立以及从单式思维到链式思维的转变;②协同进化基本路径为企业基因改变→企业行为转变→合作方基因改变→合作方行为转变→企业与合作方性状变化;③协同进化的标志是生态位改变,后者由协同关系的转变来衡量,分别经历了买卖关系、资源共享关系、价值共创与共享关系三种状态;④协同关系的演进激发平台网络效应的形成.     

Robust Chattering-Free Finite Time Attitude Tracking Control with Input Saturation

This paper addresses the attitude tracking control problem of a rigid spacecraft in the presence of the modeling uncertainty, external disturbance, and saturated control input by designing two robust attitude tracking controllers. The basic controller is formulated using an integral sliding mode surface which is continuous and provides an asymptotic convergence rate for the closed-loop system. In this case, only the external disturbance with the prior information is considered. Then, to provide a finite time convergence rate and further improve the robustness of the control system under the unknown system uncertainty containing both the modeling uncertainty and external disturbance,a novel integral terminal sliding mode surface(ITSMS) is designed and associated with the continuous adaptive control method. Besides, a command filter is utilized to deal with the immeasurability problem within the proposed ITSMS and an auxiliary system to counteract the input saturation problem. Digital simulations are presented to verify the effectiveness of the proposed controllers.     

Bidirectional Feedback Dynamic Particle Filter with Big Data for the Particle Degeneracy Problem

Particle Filter(PF) is a data assimilation method to solve recursive state estimation problem which does not depend on the assumption of Gaussian noise, and is able to be applied for various systems even with non-linear and non-Gaussian noise. However, while applying PF in dynamic systems, PF undergoes particle degeneracy,sample impoverishment, and problems of high computational complexity. Rapidly developing sensing technologies are providing highly convenient availability of real-time big traffic data from the system under study like never before. Moreover, some sensors can even receive control commands to adjust their monitoring parameters. To address these problems, a bidirectional dynamic data-driven improvement framework for PF(B3 DPF) is proposed.The B3 DPF enhances feedback between the simulation model and the big traffic data collected by the sensors,which means the execution strategies(sensor data management, parameters used in the weight computation,resampling) of B3 DPF can be optimized based on the simulation results and the types and dimensions of traffic data injected into B3 DPF can be adjusted dynamically. The first experiment indicates that the B3 DPF overcomes particle degeneracy and sample impoverishment problems and accurately estimates the state at a faster speed than the normal PF. More importantly, the new method has higher accuracy for multidimensional random systems.In the rest of experiments, the proposed framework is applied to estimate the traffic state on a real road network and obtains satisfactory results. More experiments can be designed to validate the universal properties of B3 DPF.     

Structure and function of Zika virus NS5 protein: perspectives for drug design

Zika virus (ZIKV) belongs to the positive-sense single-stranded RNA-containing Flaviviridae family. Its recent outbreak and association with human diseases (e.g. neurological disorders) have raised global health concerns, and an urgency to develop a therapeutic strategy against ZIKV infection. However, there is no currently approved antiviral against ZIKV. Here we present a comprehensive overview on recent progress in structure–function investigation of ZIKV NS5 protein, the largest non-structural protein of ZIKV, which is responsible for replication of the viral genome, RNA capping and suppression of host interferon responses. Structural comparison of the N-terminal methyltransferase domain and C-terminal RNA-dependent RNA polymerase domain of ZIKV NS5 with their counterparts from related viruses provides mechanistic insights into ZIKV NS5-mediated RNA replication, and identifies residues critical for its enzymatic activities. Finally, a collection of recently identified small molecule inhibitors against ZIKV NS5 or its closely related flavivirus homologues are also discussed.     

世界海洋环境中的塑料污染现状分析及治理建议

塑料碎片在环境中广泛存在,目前已成为海洋污染的重要来源,是当今海洋环境中不可忽视的新型污染物。本文对近几年国际上有关海洋塑料污染的研究进行了梳理,综述了塑料碎片在世界海洋环境中的含量分布及对海洋生态环境的危害,分析了国际上为应对海洋塑料污染采取的相关行动举措,同时对加强海洋塑料污染的防治提出了建议。     

Forecasting economic indicators using a consumer sentiment index: Survey‐based versus text‐based data

Given the confirmed effectiveness of the survey‐based consumer sentiment index (CSI) as a leading indicator of real economic conditions, the CSI is actively used in making policy judgments and decisions in many countries. However, although the CSI offers qualitative information for presenting current conditions and predicting a household's future economic activity, the survey‐based method has several limitations. In this context, we extracted sentiment information from online economic news articles and demonstrated that the Korean cases are a good illustration of applying a text mining technique when generating a CSI using sentiment analysis. By applying a simple sentiment analysis based on the lexicon approach, this paper confirmed that news articles can be an effective source for generating an economic indicator in Korea. Even though cross‐national comparative research results are suited better than national‐level data to generalize and verify the method used in this study, international comparisons are quite challenging to draw due to the necessary linguistic preprocessing. We hope to encourage further cross‐national comparative research to apply the approach proposed in this study.     

土壤肥料学实验课程的教学改革与实践

为全面培育卓越农林人才，提高教学培养质量，本研究结合土壤肥料学的课程内容、教学特点及实验方法，对存在的问题进行了剖析，并结合实际针对存在问题做出了相应改革，适时调整《土壤肥料学》实验课程内容和形式。通过删减验证性实验内容，增设综合性实验，传统部分教学内容实现网络化等三方面对该课程的实验课部分进行了改革与实践，以期提高学生综合运用所学《土壤肥料学》的相关知识来解决生产实际问题的能力。