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Dynamic Model Averaging and CPI Inflation Forecasts: A Comparison between the Euro Area and the United States 下载免费PDF全文
Gabriele Di Filippo 《Journal of forecasting》2015,34(8):619-648
The paper forecasts consumer price inflation in the euro area (EA) and in the USA between 1980:Q1 and 2012:Q4 based on a large set of predictors, with dynamic model averaging (DMA) and dynamic model selection (DMS). DMA/DMS allows not solely for coefficients to change over time, but also for changes in the entire forecasting model over time. DMA/DMS provides on average the best inflation forecasts with regard to alternative approaches (such as the random walk). DMS outperforms DMA. These results are robust for different sample periods and for various forecast horizons. The paper highlights common features between the USA and the EA. First, two groups of predictors forecast inflation: temporary fundamentals that have a frequent impact on inflation but only for short time periods; and persistent fundamentals whose switches are less frequent over time. Second, the importance of some variables (particularly international food commodity prices, house prices and oil prices) as predictors for consumer price index inflation increases when such variables experience large shocks. The paper also shows that significant differences prevail in the forecasting models between the USA and the EA. Such differences can be explained by the structure of these respective economies. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
3.
PXI在测控系统中的应用 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
随着有关PXI总线的规范和产品的推出,由于优良的性能指标和适宜的价格,使其受到各相关行业的广泛关注。对风洞测控系统的结构和系统配置作了具体的阐述,并对PXI总线在具体使用中的效果和特点作了较详细的介绍。 相似文献
4.
Photon emission of phagocytes in relation to stress and disease. 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Phagocytes, the first-line cells of the body's defence mechanisms against invading pathogens, kill microorganisms by means of lysosomal degradative enzymes and highly toxic reactive oxygen intermediates. The reactive oxygen compounds are produced, in a process called the 'respiratory burst', by the NADPH oxidase complex in plasma membranes, and by myeloperoxidase in phagolysosomes after degranulation. These processes generate electronically excited states which, on relaxation, emit photons, giving rise to phagocyte chemiluminescence (CL). This paper describes the conditions for the measurement of CL, and reviews the activity of phagocytes from individuals undergoing stress or disease. The capability of phagocytes to emit photons reflects remarkably well the pathophysiological state of the host. In many cases even the magnitude of the stress, the presence of a pathogen in the body, or the activity of the disease can be estimated. Physiological changes, e.g. in the reproductive cycle, can also be predicted. 相似文献
5.
The Shwachman-Bodian-Diamond syndrome protein mediates translational activation of ribosomes in yeast 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Menne TF Goyenechea B Sánchez-Puig N Wong CC Tonkin LM Ancliff PJ Brost RL Costanzo M Boone C Warren AJ 《Nature genetics》2007,39(4):486-495
The autosomal recessive disorder Shwachman-Diamond syndrome, characterized by bone marrow failure and leukemia predisposition, is caused by deficiency of the highly conserved Shwachman-Bodian-Diamond syndrome (SBDS) protein. Here, we identify the function of the yeast SBDS ortholog Sdo1, showing that it is critical for the release and recycling of the nucleolar shuttling factor Tif6 from pre-60S ribosomes, a key step in 60S maturation and translational activation of ribosomes. Using genome-wide synthetic genetic array mapping, we identified multiple TIF6 gain-of-function alleles that suppressed the pre-60S nuclear export defects and cytoplasmic mislocalization of Tif6 observed in sdo1Delta cells. Sdo1 appears to function within a pathway containing elongation factor-like 1, and together they control translational activation of ribosomes. Thus, our data link defective late 60S ribosomal subunit maturation to an inherited bone marrow failure syndrome associated with leukemia predisposition. 相似文献
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Hellgren M Strömberg P Gallego O Martras S Farrés J Persson B Parés X Höög JO 《Cellular and molecular life sciences : CMLS》2007,64(4):498-505
The metabolism of all-trans- and 9-cis-retinol/ retinaldehyde has been investigated with focus on the activities of human, mouse and rat alcohol dehydrogenase 2
(ADH2), an intriguing enzyme with apparently different functions in human and rodents. Kinetic constants were determined with
an HPLC method and a structural approach was implemented by in silico substrate dockings. For human ADH2, the determined Km values ranged from 0.05 to 0.3 μM and kcat values from 2.3 to 17.6 min−1, while the catalytic efficiency for 9-cis-retinol showed the highest value for any substrate. In contrast, poor activities
were detected for the rodent enzymes. A mouse ADH2 mutant (ADH2Pro47His) was studied that resembles the human ADH2 setup.
This mutation increased the retinoid activity up to 100-fold. The Km values of human ADH2 are the lowest among all known human retinol dehydrogenases, which clearly support a role in hepatic
retinol oxidation at physiological concentrations.
Received 12 October 2006; received after revision 6 December 2006; accepted 8 January 2007 相似文献
8.
F. Mulè 《Cellular and molecular life sciences : CMLS》1948,4(3):115-117
Summary A study was undertaken on the variations of the redox potential level produced by streptomycinin vitro andin vivo. We have been able to show that, owing to an oxidative effect, streptomycin produces an increase of the redox potential level. This oxidative effect varies in degree according to the condition of the patient.We also found that in the blood and in the spinal fluid of patients suffering from tubercular meningitis factors are present which inhibit the action of streptomycin.The results of our findings lead to the conclusion that the dose of streptomycin must be varied according to the condition of the patient if the constant level required for an efficient therapy is to be maintained in the blood and in the spinal fluid. 相似文献
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10.
F. Weygand A. Wacker V. Schmied-Kowarzik 《Cellular and molecular life sciences : CMLS》1948,4(11):427-428
Summary By condensing 2:4:5-triamino-6-hydroxy-pyrimidine with dihydroxyacetone (diacetate), diaminoacetone or acetone-1,3-di (p-formylaminobenzoic acid) not the expected 8- or 9-oxymethyl resp. -aminomethyl-pteridines but 8-or 9-methyl-pteridines were obtained. With p-tolyl-d-isoglucosamine not a tetrahydroxybutyl-pteridine but a trihydroxybutyl-pteridine was formed. For an explanation of these results it is supposed that from the dihydro-pteridines formed at first by intramolecular splitting off of H2O or R·NH2 aromatization takes place. 相似文献