数字化转型背景下我国金融机构业务与技术融合发展的路径

近年来,我国金融行业数字化转型不断提速,金融机构数字化转型已迫在眉睫.金融机构面临的数字化转型环境包括3个方面:一是大数据走向跨界融合;二是人工智能加速发展;三是区块链等技术建立了新型连接关系.基于以上环境分析,文章认为金融机构数字化转型的核心在于业务与技术融合,需要在机制、组织、架构、人才和文化层面实行再造.     

科技创业孵化载体专业化发展问题与对策研究

进入新发展阶段后,科技创新创业活动对孵化服务提出了更高的要求,科技创业载体需要加快提升专业化、精准化服务能力.文章基于2016-2019年全国科技创业孵化载体发展数据,全面分析专业化科技创业孵化载体建设发展现状,剖析了科技创业孵化载体在专业化建设方面存在的方向不清、动力不足、能力不够、模式不明、机制不畅等问题,从建立评价指标体系、明确建设主体、提升服务能力、加强资源开放和政策供给等方面提出对策建议.     

一类离散时间复杂网络系统的输出同步

利用线性稳定性理论和Lyapunov函数方法,研究了一类离散时间复杂网络系统的输出同步问题,得到了系统输出指数同步的充分性条件,数值算例表明了方法的有效性.     

A new twist to the No Miracles Argument for the success of science

J. D. Trout has recently developed a new defense of scientific realism, a new version of the No Miracles Argument. I critically evaluate Trout's novel defense of realism. I argue that Trout's argument for scientific realism and the related explanation for the success of science are self-defeating. In the process of arguing against the traditional realist strategies for explaining the success of science, he inadvertently undermines his own argument.     

Little-known and phylogenetically obscure South African estuarine microgastropods (Mollusca: Truncatelloidea) as living animals

Areas of the Knysna estuarine bay in the Western Cape are dominated by three endemic South African truncatelloid microgastropods, temporarily known as ‘Hydrobia’ knysnaensis (Krauss), ‘Assiminea’ capensis (Sowerby) and ‘Assiminea’ globulus Connolly. Although first described 80–170 years ago and present in abundance (up to 100,000 m^?2), they remain surrounded by confusion and still await taxonomic assignment, largely because they appear most atypical members of their groups by virtue of anatomy and/or biogeography and/or habitat. This study contributes in-life perspectives to morphological and phylogenetic analyses known to be on-going. At Knysna, they are syntopic: at least two occurring in >85% and all three in >40% of individual 0.0026 m² samples from their region of dominance. Nevertheless, they tend to greater abundance in divergent microhabitats; ‘A.’ globulus dominating higher tidal levels, and ‘A.’ capensis and ‘Hydrobia’ lower ones; the former especially unvegetated sediment, the latter, if anything, seagrass. Interspecific feeding interactions appear unlikely to be responsible for these patterns, other evidence suggesting that all are maintained below carrying capacity. Field biology of ‘H.’ knysnaensis generally appears equivalent to that of northern-hemisphere intertidal hydrobiids and that of ‘A.’ globulus is typically assimineid, albeit at atypically low shore height. Unlike assimineids, however, ‘A.’ capensis is truly aquatic. The success of these truncatelloids in unusual circumstances may be consequent on the absence from South Africa of other microgastropod groups that fill their niches elsewhere in the southern hemisphere.     

关于检查井沉降与解决措施的研究

基于我国检查井施工中出现的不均匀沉降及相关施工问题的实际情况,针对导致上述问题出现的各方面原因进行分析,就优化设计、规范开挖及回填施工、强化检查井的砌筑等方面提出了相应解决措施.以期为我国市政管线建设中的检查井设计及施工提供借鉴.     

深水铺管船的动力定位能力评估系统

为解决评估铺管船作业能力的难题,提出一种适用于评估铺管船动力定位能力的方法,开发了动力定位能力评估程序系统,并针对高海况环境条件设计了优化的辅助作业方案.采用数值计算方法对铺管船作业期间的平均二阶力、风载荷以及流载荷进行仿真计算,建立了环境载荷与动力定位系统提供的推力之间的平衡关系,给出了用于评估铺管船动力定位能力的系统模块,采用动力定位能力包络线的方式表达动力评估结果.在高海况作业中给出安全建议,即采用辅助拖轮作用于船舶适当位置以增强动力定位能力,从而降低工程作业风险.     

仿生非光滑花纹沟对轮胎抗滑水性能的影响

以205/55R16乘用车轮胎为研究对象,采用计算流体动力学建立了考虑胎面花纹变形的轮胎滑水分析模型;以气-液二相流数值模型分析了轮胎的滑水性能,并将临界滑水速度仿真值与NASA滑水速度预测值及轮胎发生滑水时力平衡下的速度进行对比.在此基础上,引入仿生减阻理念,研究了夹角为60°、高度为0.6mm的仿生对称V形结构对花纹沟排水量和水流阻力的影响,并将其结构特征信息等效移植到接地区轮胎花纹沟底,进行了仿生花纹轮胎的滑水性能分析.结果表明:所建滑水分析模型可用来分析轮胎滑水时的流体运动特性;相对原花纹轮胎,仿生非光滑花纹沟轮胎通过提高接地区花纹沟内水流速度,降低了胎面动水压力,提高了临界滑水速度.     

Constructing and evaluating core inflation measures from component‐level inflation data

This paper undertakes a comprehensive examination of 10 measures of core inflation and evaluates which measure produces the best forecast of headline inflation out‐of‐sample. We use the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index as our measure of inflation. We use two sets of components (17 and 50) of the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index to construct these core inflation measures and evaluate these measures at the three time horizons (6, 12 and 24 months) most relevant for monetary policy decisions. The best measure of core inflation for both sets of components and over all time horizons uses weights based on the first principal component of the disaggregated (component‐level) prices. Interestingly, the results vary by the number of components used; when more components are used the weights based on the persistence of each component is statistically equivalent to the weights generated by the first principal component. However, those forecasts using the persistence of 50 components are statistically worse than those generated using the first principal component of 17 components. The statistical superiority of the principal component method is due to the fact that it extracts (in the first principal component) the common source of variation in the component level prices that accurately describes trend inflation over the next 6–24 months.