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Smart grid was proposed as a practical form of future power distribution system. Evaluating the reliability of smart grids was of great importance and significance. A revised fault tree model was proposed to distinguish and separate grid-connected operation mode and islanded operation mode of smart grids,focusing on the perspective of the consumers. A hierarchical Monte Carlo simulation method for reliability evaluation was also proposed based on the proposed fault tree model. A case of reliability evaluation for the future renewable electric energy delivery and management（ FREEDM） system was carried out and analyzed. The proposed methods can be applicable to other forms of smart grids. 相似文献
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对于昆明市人口呈不均匀的增长趋势,传统的灰色预测方法并不能取得很好的预测效果.将小波变换与DGM(2,1)模型相结合,利用小波变换去除原始序列中的噪声,将非光滑的原始序列转化为相对光滑的新序列,然后通过DGM(2,1)模型对新序列进行预测,可以得到较为满意的预测效果.以2006—2014年的昆明市人口数据为基础,预测2... 相似文献
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