试论古籍数字化背景下专业出版社的地位

信息时代,各类出版社被数字化浪潮推动着不断前进,数字化出版已经成为趋势.在古籍数字化出版的过程中,拥有专业优势的出版社应该是古籍数字化出版的主体,但是目前的状况却和我们的预期不同.在古籍数字化背景下如何实现专业出版社的主体地位,是我们古籍专业出版人的面临的困难与挑战.本文对当前专业出版社在古籍数字化出版中的地位问题以及如何实现其应有的主体地位等方面进行论述,以期对出版从业者提供工作思路.     

Optimal investment problem for an insurer and a reinsurer

This paper studies the optimal investment problem for an insurer and a reinsurer. The basic claim process is assumed to follow a Brownian motion with drift and the insurer can purchase proportional reinsurance from the reinsurer. The insurer and the reinsurer are allowed to invest in a risk-free asset and a risky asset. Moreover, the authors consider the correlation between the claim process and the price process of the risky asset. The authors ?rst study the optimization problem of maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth for the insurer. Then with the optimal reinsurance strategy chosen by the insurer, the authors consider two optimization problems for the reinsurer: The problem of maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth and the problem of minimizing the ruin probability. By solving the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, the authors derive the optimal reinsurance and investment strategies, explicitly. Finally, the authors illustrate the equality of the reinsurer's optimal investment strategies under the two cases.     

Study on the Centralization Strategy of the Blood Allocation Among Different Departments within a Hospital

By far, the researches on how to distribute blood products among different departments in hospital have not been further studied, though the problem of blood shortage and wastage that caused by improper blood allocation is severe, which may endanger patient’s lives and impose considerable costs on hospitals. In order to solve this problem, this paper mainly studies on how to distribute the blood items among different departments within a hospital and investigates the allocation approach with the novel management method by centralizing the inventory of several different departments. By integrating the blood inventory requirements of some departments, the hospital could reduce the rate of blood shortage and wastage effectively, release the pressure of the occupancy of resources and reduce the bullwhip effect of blood products. This paper illustrates the centralization principle in hospital and formulates the mixed integer programming model to work out the optimal allocation network scheme and the optimal inventory setting for every department. And the results of the numerical example demonstrate that this centralization method could considerably reduce blood shortage and wastage in hospital by about 72% and 90% respectively. Furthermore, it could decrease the total cost by about 108,540 RMB a month on blood supply chain management in the hospital and improve the effect of some certain surgeries by transfusing the fresh blood to patients.     

中国和美国信贷冲击跨境溢出效应的比较研究

本文构建了基于符号约束识别的GVAR模型,并用以考察中国和美国的信贷市场冲击对全球41个国家的不同溢出效应.研究结果表明,中国紧缩性信贷市场冲击对本国实体经济有显著的负效应,但仅限于短中期;而美国信贷冲击对本国乃至全球经济都具有相当大且持久的负影响.中国信贷冲击的跨国效应较小,且主要通过贸易渠道.中国信贷市场的本国冲击能解释中国产出近10%的波动,但无论是本国效应还是跨境传导,总需求冲击仍是驱动中国经济周期波动的最主要力量.     

基于变量选择-神经网络模型的复杂路网短时交通流预测

摘要： 针对传统交通流预测模型正在由单断面历史数据处理向多断面、多时刻历史数据处理转变,但在考虑各断面间的影响时,多变的交通状况往往会使预测模型复杂化的问题,引入一种多元线性回归最小绝对收缩和选择算子方法(Lasso),并利用其优秀的变量选择能力,在复杂路网多断面中选出相关性较高的断面；结合神经网络(NN)的非线性特性,提出了Lasso NN组合模型.结果表明：Lasso NN模型在路网交叉口对未来15 min交通流数据预测的误差率低于9.2%；在非交叉口的误差率低于6.7%,总体优于各自单独使用得出的结果.     

大学生羞怯与手机成瘾倾向:孤独感的中介作用

为探讨大学生羞怯与手机成瘾倾向的关系,考察孤独感在大学生羞怯与手机成瘾倾向之间的中介作用。采用羞怯量表、UCLA孤独量表得分第三版和大学生手机成瘾倾向量表对在贵州省8所高校抽取的1 147名大学生进行调查。结果显示:大学生羞怯量表得分、孤独感量表与手机成瘾倾向量表得分显著正相关(r=0.27,r=0.29,均P<0.001),羞怯量表得分和孤独感量表得分显著正相关(r=0.49,均P<0.001);羞怯和孤独感均可显著正向预测大学生手机成瘾倾向(均P<0.001),孤独感在大学生羞怯与手机成瘾倾向之间的部分中介作用成立。     

ρ~0→π~ π~-衰变的么正计算和ρ~0极化插入的虚部

本文给出了ρ~０→π~＋π~－衰变的么正计算及其衰变率和ρ~２极化插入的关系．ρ~０极化插入的虚部是用维度积分的方法来计算．极化插入虚部的计算方法是普适的．     

非线性叠加效应研究

对非线性叠加效应进行了研究,在Toda晶格中,当两孤立子运动方向相同时,其速度波的振幅的极大值是原来两波振幅之差,两波叠加的最大振幅是原来两波振幅之和。这些结果跟线性波叠加情况是完全不同的。     

宇宙临界减速因子

本文证明了如果中微子具有质量,那么膨胀宇宙的临界减速因子q_c就不是通常所说的1/2而是等于1。