土壤肥料学实验课程的教学改革与实践

为全面培育卓越农林人才，提高教学培养质量，本研究结合土壤肥料学的课程内容、教学特点及实验方法，对存在的问题进行了剖析，并结合实际针对存在问题做出了相应改革，适时调整《土壤肥料学》实验课程内容和形式。通过删减验证性实验内容，增设综合性实验，传统部分教学内容实现网络化等三方面对该课程的实验课部分进行了改革与实践，以期提高学生综合运用所学《土壤肥料学》的相关知识来解决生产实际问题的能力。     

试论古籍数字化背景下专业出版社的地位

信息时代,各类出版社被数字化浪潮推动着不断前进,数字化出版已经成为趋势.在古籍数字化出版的过程中,拥有专业优势的出版社应该是古籍数字化出版的主体,但是目前的状况却和我们的预期不同.在古籍数字化背景下如何实现专业出版社的主体地位,是我们古籍专业出版人的面临的困难与挑战.本文对当前专业出版社在古籍数字化出版中的地位问题以及如何实现其应有的主体地位等方面进行论述,以期对出版从业者提供工作思路.     

Optimal investment problem for an insurer and a reinsurer

This paper studies the optimal investment problem for an insurer and a reinsurer. The basic claim process is assumed to follow a Brownian motion with drift and the insurer can purchase proportional reinsurance from the reinsurer. The insurer and the reinsurer are allowed to invest in a risk-free asset and a risky asset. Moreover, the authors consider the correlation between the claim process and the price process of the risky asset. The authors ?rst study the optimization problem of maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth for the insurer. Then with the optimal reinsurance strategy chosen by the insurer, the authors consider two optimization problems for the reinsurer: The problem of maximizing the expected exponential utility of terminal wealth and the problem of minimizing the ruin probability. By solving the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, the authors derive the optimal reinsurance and investment strategies, explicitly. Finally, the authors illustrate the equality of the reinsurer's optimal investment strategies under the two cases.     

中国和美国信贷冲击跨境溢出效应的比较研究

本文构建了基于符号约束识别的GVAR模型,并用以考察中国和美国的信贷市场冲击对全球41个国家的不同溢出效应.研究结果表明,中国紧缩性信贷市场冲击对本国实体经济有显著的负效应,但仅限于短中期;而美国信贷冲击对本国乃至全球经济都具有相当大且持久的负影响.中国信贷冲击的跨国效应较小,且主要通过贸易渠道.中国信贷市场的本国冲击能解释中国产出近10%的波动,但无论是本国效应还是跨境传导,总需求冲击仍是驱动中国经济周期波动的最主要力量.     

基于变量选择-神经网络模型的复杂路网短时交通流预测

摘要： 针对传统交通流预测模型正在由单断面历史数据处理向多断面、多时刻历史数据处理转变,但在考虑各断面间的影响时,多变的交通状况往往会使预测模型复杂化的问题,引入一种多元线性回归最小绝对收缩和选择算子方法(Lasso),并利用其优秀的变量选择能力,在复杂路网多断面中选出相关性较高的断面；结合神经网络(NN)的非线性特性,提出了Lasso NN组合模型.结果表明：Lasso NN模型在路网交叉口对未来15 min交通流数据预测的误差率低于9.2%；在非交叉口的误差率低于6.7%,总体优于各自单独使用得出的结果.     

大学生羞怯与手机成瘾倾向:孤独感的中介作用

为探讨大学生羞怯与手机成瘾倾向的关系,考察孤独感在大学生羞怯与手机成瘾倾向之间的中介作用。采用羞怯量表、UCLA孤独量表得分第三版和大学生手机成瘾倾向量表对在贵州省8所高校抽取的1 147名大学生进行调查。结果显示:大学生羞怯量表得分、孤独感量表与手机成瘾倾向量表得分显著正相关(r=0.27,r=0.29,均P<0.001),羞怯量表得分和孤独感量表得分显著正相关(r=0.49,均P<0.001);羞怯和孤独感均可显著正向预测大学生手机成瘾倾向(均P<0.001),孤独感在大学生羞怯与手机成瘾倾向之间的部分中介作用成立。     

Forecasting economic indicators using a consumer sentiment index: Survey‐based versus text‐based data

Given the confirmed effectiveness of the survey‐based consumer sentiment index (CSI) as a leading indicator of real economic conditions, the CSI is actively used in making policy judgments and decisions in many countries. However, although the CSI offers qualitative information for presenting current conditions and predicting a household's future economic activity, the survey‐based method has several limitations. In this context, we extracted sentiment information from online economic news articles and demonstrated that the Korean cases are a good illustration of applying a text mining technique when generating a CSI using sentiment analysis. By applying a simple sentiment analysis based on the lexicon approach, this paper confirmed that news articles can be an effective source for generating an economic indicator in Korea. Even though cross‐national comparative research results are suited better than national‐level data to generalize and verify the method used in this study, international comparisons are quite challenging to draw due to the necessary linguistic preprocessing. We hope to encourage further cross‐national comparative research to apply the approach proposed in this study.     

组合夹具CAD技术的研究进展

组合夹具CAD(Computer-Aided Design)技术，是利用计算机辅助组装设计代替传统的人工组装设计的方法，可以有效地提高组合夹具组装设计的速度和质量。介绍了近年来国内外组合夹具CAD技术的发展概况，提出了今后组合夹具CAD技术的研究方法和发展方向。     

NIPA类共聚温敏水凝胶中水的状态和耐热性

用N-异丙基丙烯酰胺（NIPA）与丙烯酸钠（SA）及甲基丙烯酸钠（SMA）共聚合成了两个系列的水凝胶，研究了共聚组成与水凝胶基本性质的关系，并用示差扫描量热法（DSC）和热失重法（TG）研究了此类水凝胶中水的状态和耐热性。