A new twist to the No Miracles Argument for the success of science

J. D. Trout has recently developed a new defense of scientific realism, a new version of the No Miracles Argument. I critically evaluate Trout's novel defense of realism. I argue that Trout's argument for scientific realism and the related explanation for the success of science are self-defeating. In the process of arguing against the traditional realist strategies for explaining the success of science, he inadvertently undermines his own argument.     

Little-known and phylogenetically obscure South African estuarine microgastropods (Mollusca: Truncatelloidea) as living animals

Areas of the Knysna estuarine bay in the Western Cape are dominated by three endemic South African truncatelloid microgastropods, temporarily known as ‘Hydrobia’ knysnaensis (Krauss), ‘Assiminea’ capensis (Sowerby) and ‘Assiminea’ globulus Connolly. Although first described 80–170 years ago and present in abundance (up to 100,000 m^?2), they remain surrounded by confusion and still await taxonomic assignment, largely because they appear most atypical members of their groups by virtue of anatomy and/or biogeography and/or habitat. This study contributes in-life perspectives to morphological and phylogenetic analyses known to be on-going. At Knysna, they are syntopic: at least two occurring in >85% and all three in >40% of individual 0.0026 m² samples from their region of dominance. Nevertheless, they tend to greater abundance in divergent microhabitats; ‘A.’ globulus dominating higher tidal levels, and ‘A.’ capensis and ‘Hydrobia’ lower ones; the former especially unvegetated sediment, the latter, if anything, seagrass. Interspecific feeding interactions appear unlikely to be responsible for these patterns, other evidence suggesting that all are maintained below carrying capacity. Field biology of ‘H.’ knysnaensis generally appears equivalent to that of northern-hemisphere intertidal hydrobiids and that of ‘A.’ globulus is typically assimineid, albeit at atypically low shore height. Unlike assimineids, however, ‘A.’ capensis is truly aquatic. The success of these truncatelloids in unusual circumstances may be consequent on the absence from South Africa of other microgastropod groups that fill their niches elsewhere in the southern hemisphere.     

冬枣贮藏效果与相关酶活性的相关研究

以鄂北冬枣为材料,对果实采后低温贮藏过程中相关酶活性与果实硬度进行相关分析、通径分析和灰色关联分析。分析结果表明,各相关酶活性与硬度的相关程度依次为PG、SOD、CAT、PME、POD,与果实硬度的贡献率大小依次为PG、CAT、SOD、PME、POD,与果实硬度的关联度顺序为PME、SOD、PG、CAT、POD。综合分析结果表明,PG活性、CAT活性、SOD活性为果实贮藏过程中主要的酶,在贮藏过程中对果实软化衰老起重要作用。     

Constructing and evaluating core inflation measures from component‐level inflation data

This paper undertakes a comprehensive examination of 10 measures of core inflation and evaluates which measure produces the best forecast of headline inflation out‐of‐sample. We use the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index as our measure of inflation. We use two sets of components (17 and 50) of the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index to construct these core inflation measures and evaluate these measures at the three time horizons (6, 12 and 24 months) most relevant for monetary policy decisions. The best measure of core inflation for both sets of components and over all time horizons uses weights based on the first principal component of the disaggregated (component‐level) prices. Interestingly, the results vary by the number of components used; when more components are used the weights based on the persistence of each component is statistically equivalent to the weights generated by the first principal component. However, those forecasts using the persistence of 50 components are statistically worse than those generated using the first principal component of 17 components. The statistical superiority of the principal component method is due to the fact that it extracts (in the first principal component) the common source of variation in the component level prices that accurately describes trend inflation over the next 6–24 months.     

城市治理首要应加强市民的思想道德建设——以湛江市治理交通秩序为例

交通混乱既影响城市形象,又制约经济发展。本文通过对湛江市区交通混乱现象进行深入调查研究,认为要从根本上改变这一现状,取得长效成果,除了采取行政立法、经济处罚、改善交通基础设施等治理措施外,还应着重加强市民的道德建设,提高其思想道德素质,培养市民良好的社会道德行为习惯。文章旨在为加强湛江市民道德建设,解决湛江及其它城市突出交通问题提供参考。     

基于GAN的通信干扰波形生成技术

现有通信干扰方法, 通常基于通信侦察中获取的目标信号特征进行干扰决策, 选取合适的干扰波形实施干扰, 难以应对目标信号特征未知或参数动态变化的情况。为此, 提出一种基于生成对抗网络(generative adversarial networks, GAN)的通信干扰波形生成技术, 运用GAN直接提取目标信号的潜在特征, 并生成与目标信号特征相似的干扰波形。在介绍GAN原理的基础上, 首先设计网络模型, 并对学习率进行优化, 使GAN更适用于时间序列通信干扰波形的生成。然后通过对不同类型和参数的通信信号进行干扰波形生成实验, 验证了该技术的泛化性。最后进行干扰效果对比试验, 结果表明, GAN生成的干扰波形干扰效果能够逼近最佳干扰效果。     

SAR图像并行拼接方法研究与实现* 〖HT4K〗——基于改进完全二叉树模型

随着SAR成像技术的快速发展，SAR图像覆盖的地域范围与成像精度也在迅速增长，这对SAR图像拼接工作的实时性提出了挑战;文章对SAR图像序列特征进行深入分析，提出了采用基于分割的完全二叉树模型进行SAR图像的并行拼接，并使用MPI点对点通信方式对之进行了不同数量机群规模下的实现；对比实验证明，基于该方法的并行拼接工作比传统并行拼接方法在降低拼接时耗上更加有效，且并行拼接后的完整图像效果良好.     

基于模型的汽油机电子节气门控制器设计

摘要： 建立了电子节气门系统模型，并通过系统辨识方法得出模型参数.根据被控电子节气门的摩擦力和非线性回位弹簧模型，设计了前馈非线性补偿控制器.将经过前馈非线性补偿后的电子节气门系统简化成线性系统，并对该线性系统进行H无穷控制器的设计.对设计的H无穷控制器进行离散化，并加入比例控制环节来弥补控制器离散化导致的性能下降.经过试验验证，在前馈非线性补偿器、H无穷控制器和比例控制的作用下，被控电子节气门的性能达到了设计需求.