Samples Selection for Artificial Neural Network Training in Preliminary Structural Design

An artificial neural network (ANN) is applied in the preliminary structural design of reticulated shells. Major efforts are made to enhance the generalization ability of networks through well-selected training samples. Number-theoretic methods (NTMs) are adopted to generate samples with low discrepancy, i.e.uniformly scattered in the domain, where discrepancy is a quantitative measurement of the uniformity. The discrepancy of the NTM-based sample set is 1/6-1/7 that of samples with equal spacing. In a case study,networks trained by NTM-based samples are compared with those trained by equal-spaced samples in generalizing performance. The results show that both the computational precision and stability of the former ANNs are more satisfactory than those of the latter. It is concluded that the flexibility of ANNs in generalizing can be effectively increased by use of uniformly distributed training samples rather than simply piling data.More reliable uniformity should be obtained, however, through NTMs instead of equal-spaced samples.     

Forecasting recessions using the yield curve

We compare forecasts of recessions using four different specifications of the probit model: a time invariant conditionally independent version; a business cycle specific conditionally independent model; a time invariant probit with autocorrelated errors; and a business cycle specific probit with autocorrelated errors. The more sophisticated versions of the model take into account some of the potential underlying causes of the documented predictive instability of the yield curve. We find strong evidence in favour of the more sophisticated specification, which allows for multiple breakpoints across business cycles and autocorrelation. We also develop a new approach to the construction of real time forecasting of recession probabilities. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

大型径向和推力滑动轴承试验台结构设计与应用

对径向滑动轴承、推力滑动轴承试验台以及实验台的结构设计、试验范围、功能和工业产品实验进行了介绍。该试验台在滑动轴承的实验研究中得到了很好的应用。     

系统结构模型分部的底层要素法

本文从系统的底层要素出发，提出并证明了底层要素存在性、底层要素后果集并集的完全性以及它们在同一部分的充分必要条件，由此导出了系统结构模型分部的算法，实际应用进一步说明了这一方法的有效性。     

结构方程模型在兴安落叶松林生长中的应用

【目的】通过结构方程模型,确定气候、土壤和海拔对兴安落叶松林生长指标的影响以及路径关系。【方法】选取年平均气温、年平均降水量、太阳辐射、土壤全氮含量、土壤有机碳密度和海拔作为影响因素,探究兴安落叶松地上生物量、地下生物量、树高与这些影响因素的关系,并利用AMOS 21.0软件构建衡量兴安落叶松生长的3个指标与气候、土壤和海拔的结构方程模型。【结果】兴安落叶松的地上生物量、地下生物量随着海拔、年平均降水量的增大呈现先增大后减少的趋势,树高随着海拔的增加而增加。地上和地下生物量随着土壤有机碳密度的增加而增加。海拔对兴安落叶松生长的总效应系数为0.200且是正向效应,海拔对兴安落叶松生长的直接效应(0.224)大于间接效应(-0.024);气候因子对兴安落叶松林生长的总影响系数为-0.771且是负向效应;土壤因子对兴安落叶松生长的总影响系数为-0.216,其对兴安落叶松林生长起到一定的抑制作用。【结论】根据结构方程模型的路径系数,气候因子的总影响系数绝对值最大,其次是土壤和海拔,兴安落叶松林静态生长主要受到气候因子的制约。     

轨道车辆S形截面结构件的排样设计与应用

轨道车辆S形截面结构件冲压成形容易产生回弹变形,回弹变形又会带来制件上的孔洞和局部形状的二次形位误差。以轨道车辆S形截面结构件为对象,参照坯料的排样设计流程,通过制件工艺分析、CAE仿真分析,初步设计了坯料的十工序排样;从成形工艺、模具概要设计角度详细分析了坯料排样各工序的设计目的;依据所设计的坯料排样完成了级进模设计,并在所设计、制造、调试好的级进模上做了实冲试验。结果表明：所设计的十工序排样图适用于轨道车辆S形截面结构件的冲压加工。对该坯料排样设计方法与方案推广应用,具有较好的经济效益和社会效益。     

浇筑水泥的研制

本法以普通硅酸盐水泥为基础,掺入Ｄ型外加济,混匀,制成浇筑水泥,其各项性能指标达到或超过江苏省企业标准（江苏Ｑ／ＪＣ３０２－８６）中的５２５浇筑水泥标准。