Population biology of bryozoans: correlates of sessile,colonial life histories in freshwater habitats

Bryozoans are common, often abundant, sessile, colonial invertebrates of freshwaters. By reviewing what is known of their general ecology and considering in further detail the population biology of specific groups, we provide evidence that 1) populations are locally ephemeral and regional persistence is attained via a dynamic equilibrium between dispersal and colonization, and 2) sex may often be infrequent and a high degree of clonality obtains at both local and regional scales. On the basis of these characteristics we discuss how the group offers exceptional opportunities for investigating a number of fundamentally important ecological and evolutionary questions.The highly curious modification of the Molluscan type which the Polyzoa [=Bryozoa] present... the great beauty of their forms, and the facility with which they can in general be observed in a living state, cannot but render them special favorites for every lover of Nature; and for the more profound student must confer on them a peculiar significance, and invest their study with a scientific interest which is scarcely surpassed by that of any other group of animals.... (Allman 1856)     

唐家河自然保护区扭角羚种群动态及稳定性研究

１９８６年唐家河自然保护区内扭角羚的实际数量为４８０－５２０头,作者通过Ｌｅｓｌｉｅ矩阵的方法,预测了该保护区的内扭角羚种群１９８６－２００４年每隔３年各年份的理论数量分别为７１５,９６４,１３５８,１８４１,２５６４,３５８４头。讨论了该保护区扭角羚最适数量的应控制在１９９２年的９６４头,最大维持量不得超过１９９５年１３５８头。     

大熊猫的放归与保护

根据大熊猫在野外的分布格局,对栖息地的选择及种群生存力的分析,应将大熊猫就地保护,使固有的栖息地的种群得以恢复,并提高其生存值和适应度。另一方面,圈养的大熊猫存活率和净生率都大于野外种群,经过一段时间的增殖,保持其野外生态习性,通过驯化,先在大面积范围内散放,然后放归自然,增加野外种群数量和遗传多样性是可行的。     

马尔柯夫链状预测的概率计算及拓广

提出了一种马尔柯夫链状预测中的概率计算新方法：状态划分矩阵法;具有模糊状态的马尔柯夫链的概率计算公式,并用实例计算作了说明。     

基于Bayes准则的广义判别预报模式及其应用

根据Ｂａｙｅｓ准则,提出一种时间序列与多元分析相结合的广义判别模式．该模式既保留了时间序列线性模式的优点,同时又吸收了多元分析线性模式的长处．从气象状况演变的物理机制来看,这种综合考虑系统状况的方法比单纯考虑前期状态演变或单纯考虑某一时次的状态更有意义．     

上海地区汉族人单胺氧化酶基因微卫星DNA多态性研究

应用扩增片段长度多态性技术,分析单胺氧化酶基因的ＭＡＯＡ（ＣＡ）。力ＭＡＯＢＩ（ＧＴ）ｎ２个基因座的微卫星ＤＮＡ多态性。在２４６名（男性１２２人,女性１２４人）无血缘关系上海地区汉族人中检出ＭＡＯＡ（ＣＡ）ｎ基因座８－种等位基因（１１０－１２４ｂｐ）和１９种基因型。     

Mitochondrial DNA evidence for the 19th century introduction of African honey bees into the United States

Since the introduction of an African subspecies into Brazil in the mid-1950's¹, descendent Africanized honey bees (Apis mellifera L.) have spread throughout the Neotropics and into temperate North America. Restriction enzyme analysis of 422 feral honey bee colonies collected from non-Africanized areas in the southern United States revealed that over 21% of them had mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) derived from a European race established in North America by the 17th century, 77% of them had mtDNA common in honey bees maintained by beekeepers and about 1% exhibited African mtDNA. Further analysis revealed that the African mtDNA was derived from a north African subspecies imported to the US in the 19th century.     

Predicting returns and volatility with macroeconomic variables: evidence from tests of encompassing

Tests of forecast encompassing are used to evaluate one‐step‐ahead forecasts of S&P Composite index returns and volatility. It is found that forecasts over the 1990s made from models that include macroeconomic variables tend to be encompassed by those made from a benchmark model which does not include macroeconomic variables. However, macroeconomic variables are found to add significant information to forecasts of returns and volatility over the 1970s. Often in empirical research on forecasting stock index returns and volatility, in‐sample information criteria are used to rank potential forecasting models. Here, none of the forecasting models for the 1970s that include macroeconomic variables are, on the basis of information criteria, preferred to the relevant benchmark specification. Thus, had investors used information criteria to choose between the models used for forecasting over the 1970s considered in this paper, the predictability that tests of encompassing reveal would not have been exploited. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

关于河道一维非恒定流水温预测模型的研究

作者在全面地分析影响河道水温变化各种因素的基础上，根据大渡河流域实测资料所推荐的有关计算纵向离散系数的经验公式．确定了一种适宜于河道一维非恒定流水温的预测模型．作者运用此模型预测了水库下泄低温水、火电厂温排水对下游水环境的影响及其应用价值，其结果可为制定水库生态用水调度方案和流域开发的环境影响评价提供科学依据．     

九江城市及郊区麻雀种群数量与空间分布的调查

2003年10月-2004年5月期间对九江城市及郊区麻雀种群数量与空间分布的现状及其历史变迁作了初步调查，结果表明：调查区内麻雀于20世纪80年代初期开始锐减，直至2000年，麻雀又重新出现了明显的恢复迹象，并最终形成以九江县城为消失区、在产粮区罕见以及在九江市区、蔬菜区和产棉区广布的现有空间分布格局．讨论认为这是由于农药及工业性大气污染两个环境因子的综合作用所致．