世界经济层内进化浅论

本文将物理系统层内进化扩展到世界经济系统中去，通过对世界经济循环结构与物理系统进化的层次结构关系的探讨，论述了世界经济周期的特征及经济周期的熨平作用。     

波纹管的特征值分析

基于Novozhilov薄壳理论 ,用有限元法建立了旋转波纹管非轴对称自由振动的广义特征值方程并进行了求解。选取两结点非协调曲边旋转壳单元作为波纹管的离散单元 ,并将所有相关变量沿其环向进行了Fourier展开。该方法不仅给出了子午线曲率连续变化的U型波纹管任意环向谐波所对应的特征值 ,而且对子午线曲率有突变的C型波纹管旋转壳也能很好地适应。算例结果表明 ,波纹管不存在一个最低固有频率对应的固定环向波数 ,但其轴对称振型和低阶非轴对称振型在动态分析中占绝对优势 ,高阶振型的作用并不明显。     

半参数模型约束条件下估计量的统计诊断

利用最小惩罚二乘原理构造加权惩罚平方和，导出了约束条件下，半参数模型中正规化矩阵正定时半参数平差的计算方法，用直接法得到了参数和半参数的估计量，并将此方法引入测绘领域，给出了相应的公式。     

Unit roots versus other types of time heterogeneity,parameter time dependence and superexogeneity

This paper stresses the restrictive nature of the standard unit root/cointegration assumptions and examines a more general type of time heterogeneity, which might characterize a number of economic variables, and which results in parameter time dependence and misleading statistical inference. We show that in such cases ‘operational’ models cannot be obtained, and the estimation of time‐varying parameter models becomes necessary. For instance, economic processes subject to endemic change can only be adequately modelled in a state space form. This is a very important point, because unstable models will break down when used for forecasting purposes. We also discuss a new test for the null of cointegration developed by Quintos and Phillips (1993), which is based on parameter constancy in cointegrating regressions. Finally, we point out that, if it is possible to condition on a subset of superexogenous variables, parameter instability can be handled by estimating a restricted system. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

The performance of non‐linear exchange rate models: a forecasting comparison

In recent years there has been a considerable development in modelling non‐linearities and asymmetries in economic and financial variables. The aim of the current paper is to compare the forecasting performance of different models for the returns of three of the most traded exchange rates in terms of the US dollar, namely the French franc (FF/$), the German mark (DM/$) and the Japanese yen (Y/$). The relative performance of non‐linear models of the SETAR, STAR and GARCH types is contrasted with their linear counterparts. The results show that if attention is restricted to mean square forecast errors, the performance of the models, when distinguishable, tends to favour the linear models. The forecast performance of the models is evaluated also conditional on the regime at the forecast origin and on density forecasts. This analysis produces more evidence of forecasting gains from non‐linear models. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

图G_i~(S*)(P,2(sum form j=1 to n)mj)的伴随多项式因式分解的图论方法及应用

通过研究图的伴随多项式的因式分解 ,给出了证明非色唯一图的一种新方法 ,并且得到了若干图簇的色等价图的结构性质     

Study on Ceramic Cutting by Plasma Arc

Engineering ceramics are typical difficult-to-machine materials because of high hardness and brittleness. PAC (Plasma Arc Cutting) is a very important thermal cutting process and has been successfully used in cutting stainless steel and other difficult-to-machine alloys. PAC‘s application in cutting ceramics, however, is still limited because the most ceramics are not good electronic conducts, and transferred plasma arc cannot be produced between cathode and work-piece. So we presented a method of plasma ...     

障碍可越路线规划的符号图方法

本文给出２—Ｄ路线规划问题在障碍可越情况下的启发式符号方法．这一方法利用推理规则在由图像信息导出的连通图知识结构上进行启发式符号Ａ搜索以对空间关系进行分析和分类，以符号描述形式给出两声间路线规划方案．     

对学前儿童羞愧感的实验研究

羞愧感是一种深刻的社会情感,它与人的个性道德认识有密切的联系.实验研究表明,羞愧感的最初萌芽是与儿童的道德认识联系在一起的,儿童以后发展的全过程,都与这种道德认识分不开,同时,当羞愧感成为个性的一种稳定的品质时,它就会显著地改变儿童的个性结构.     

农村剩余劳动力转移中的深层次矛盾及政策取向

简析了农村剩余劳动力的成因及现状,对转移中的深层次矛盾加以剖析,提出了政策建议,以期就教与方家.