Illustrations with Real Examples of Using Ecological Regulation Strategies Against Crop Pests in China

In this paper, a series of examples from China, including those using ecological regulation strategies successfully to keep crop pests under control and those making more damages of crop pests caused by wrong cropping systems, crop distributions or extensive cultivation, were given and analyzed. From these, two pieces of experience were enlightened as follows： the first, the refoms of cropping systems and crop distributions must be beneficial to pest control or at least not increase the damage of crop pests; the second, we should further clarify the relationship between population dynamics of pests and cropping system/crop distribution, the basis for correctly laying down the ecological regulation systems.     

电子文件对中国档案事业生态环境的影响*

中国档案事业生态环境主要包括政治、经济、法律、科技、人文等档案事业生存和发展的现实社会环境要素。以电子文件为基本单元的信息技术的飞速发展和普及,大大改善了中国档案事业的生态环境,同时也带来了新的挑战。     

会计政策选择风险防范探讨

文章在分析会计政策选择风险存在的必然性的同时，提出了防范风险的对策。     

对传统民法买卖合同风险承担前提的质疑

传统民法将买卖合同风险承担的前提归结为合同的成立。但是在买卖合同成立后生效前，双方当事人并没有确立确定的债权债务关系，也就谈不上风险承担问题。买卖合同风险承担的前提应为合同的生效，只有在合同生效后，才产生确定的债权债务关系，风险承担才有意义。     

大南宁都市圈形成背景下的区域综合生态保护策略研究

广西境内由南宁市、北海市、钦州市、防城港市组成的桂南经济区是广西乃至北部湾区域的核心经济区和最有竞争力的城市群，为适应大西南区域联动发展以及我国与东南亚经贸合作日益加强的发展趋势，今后本区城市群规模和辖区势必进行重新调整，并极有可能形成以大南宁都市圈为中心的环北部湾新兴经济增长极．以上述四城市为例，探讨与城市空间形态变化以及社会经济发展需求相适应的可行的区域综合生态保护策略．     

发展生物技术 重视生态安全

论述了生物技术是现代科学发展与应用的结果，分析了在激素生产，新药品的开发，转基因动植物的应用，物种扩散与交流等方面所取得的主要成就，探讨了发展生物技术时应注意普及生物技术知识，做好安全性试验，重视社会伦理道德，立法及外来物种影响等问题。     

基于神经网络的企业信用等级评估

企业信用等级评估是金融领域重要的问题，论文采用人工神经网络模型研究企业信用等级的评估问题，按照企业样本在信用等级的分布状况来抽样，然后，根据企业样本性质的不同，将其分为制造业和非制造业两大类，利用偏相关分析方法建立了企业信用评级的指标体系，此外，还介绍了几种企业信用评级常用的评估模型，并将神经网络评估模型的性能和其他的信用评估模型作了比较，实验结果表明神经网络模型具有更好的预测准确性。     

基于险度函数的研制风险度量研究

现代弹箭系统是一种集多门学科于一身的复杂系统.在研制过程中,由于受到不确定性因素的影响,会给研制工作带来一定的风险.本文分析了各种风险分析与估计方法,给出了风险的数学表述方法和风险分布的概率估计.结合武器系统研制的实际情况,假定行为人风险偏好特性为定常风险中立,给出了在该风险偏好特性下的险度函数.通过险度函数的研制风险分析为风险决策提供了量化的决策依据.以反直升机智能雷战斗部为例,验证了该方法的有效性,并且具有科学和实用价值.     

The genetic diversity of cen-tral and peripheral popula-tions of ratlike hamster(Cricetulus triton)

The impact of habitat fragmentation and isolation on the genetic diversity of populations has attracted much attention in studies of meta-population and conservation biology. In this work, using the randomly amplified polymorphic DNA (RAPD) technique, we studied the genetic diversity of central, peripheral and peninsular populations of ratlike hamster, which were collected in five locations of the North China Plain and its surrounding areas, in 1999. The study revealed that, ⅰ) the genetic diversity of central population of Raoyang County＞the sub-central populations of Gu'an County and Taikang County＞the peripheral population of Shunyi District＞the peninsular population of Mentougou District; ⅱ) the genetic diversities of the five populations were positively correlated to the nearest distances to the peripheral line of population distribution; ⅲ) there were significant differences of gene frequencies of some RAPD fragments among the five populations. More RAPD fragments disappeared in peripheral populations than in central or sub-central populations. The frequencies of two RAPD fragments were correlated to the latitude. This study clearly indicated that the variation of the genetic diversities of the five populations was caused by edge effect and frag- mentation through the enhanced inbreeding and genetic drift, and thus supported the view that habitat fragmentation and related edge effect reduce the population genetic diversity.     

河流生态系统合理生态用水比例的确定

通过构建生态需水和生态用水比例模型，遵循生态需水比例和生态用水比例的相关关系，以生态需水比例为标准，确定生态用水比例，然后综合考虑社会经济用水的实际情况，确定适合当地水资源配置和社会经济发展水平的合理生态用水比例。以海河河流生态系统为例，视其河道内生态系统恢复到20世纪70年代初的水平为生态修复目标，计算河流系统生态需水，得到其生态需水的阈值区间为[16％～66％]。然后计算了1999—2002年海河实际生态用水比例，表明生态用水一直没有得到满足。最后通过与海河社会经济发展的协调，确定海河河流生态系统的合理生态用水比例应维持在(16％～46％)的阈值区间内。