“民生体育”视域下高校体育资源服务社区体育发展的研究

以黑龙江省76所高校及周边社区作为总体研究对象,从物质层面、制度层面、行为层面、精神层面对影响社区体育发展的因素进行分析.发现社区体育发展良莠不齐,社区体育指导员、管理者缺乏,场馆设施严重不足、运动项目单一、管理无序等极大地限制了社区体育的有序健康发展.与之相对照,高校体育发展在场馆设施建设、师资配备等方面都得到政府的大力支持.分析了影响社区体育发展的各种因素,深入探究高校体育服务于社区体育的可行性,提出高校体育资源服务于社区体育的对策,为民生体育的健康有序发展提供理论保障和技术支持.     

FTC of hidden Markov process with application to resource allocation in air operation

This paper investigates the feedback control of hidden Markov process(HMP) in the face of loss of some observation processes.The control action facilitates or impedes some particular transitions from an inferred current state in the attempt to maximize the probability that the HMP is driven to a desirable absorbing state.This control problem is motivated by the need for judicious resource allocation to win an air operation involving two opposing forces.The effectiveness of a receding horizon control scheme based on the inferred discrete state is examined.Tolerance to loss of sensors that help determine the state of the air operation is achieved through a decentralized scheme that estimates a continuous state from measurements of linear models with additive noise.The discrete state of the HMP is identified using three well-known detection schemes.The sub-optimal control policy based on the detected state is implemented on-line in a closed-loop,where the air operation is simulated as a stochastic process with SimEvents,and the measurement process is simulated for a range of single sensor loss rates.     

极端黑洞熵的新认识

本文研究了极端RNdS黑洞的量子熵,表明当考虑内事件视界时,极端黑洞的熵与极端和量子化的次序无关都为零,满足热力学第三定律.内外事件视界对熵的贡献是对数发散的,且它们的绝对值严格相等,特别是外事件视界对熵的贡献是负值,这是一个全新的结论.     

视界邻域的几何与黑洞熵

视界领域的时空具有类似Ｒｉｎｄｌｅｒ度规的几何结构,从这个背景下的场方程出发,利用ｂｒｉｃｋ－ｗａｌｌ方法分别计算了标量场和Ｄｉｒａｃ场的熵,很自然地得到熵与面只与正比的结果,这一结果适用于一大类黑洞,还讨论了极端黑洞熵,指出拓扑熵只有经典意义而不是量子的观点。     

起源于引力场的Vaidya-Bonner-de Sitter黑洞的瞬时辐出度

利用Vaidya-Bonner-de S itter黑洞视界面附近的熵密度,导出黑洞的瞬时辐出度,得到了任一时刻黑洞的瞬时辐出度总是正比于黑洞视界温度四次方的结论。导出的广义Stefan-Boltzm ann系数不再是一个恒量,而是一个与黑洞视界的变化率、黑洞视界面附近的时空度规及黑洞的吸收与辐射系数有关的一个动比例系数,揭示了黑洞周围的引力场与其热辐射之间存在着必然的内在联系。     

Coincidence and reproducibility in the EHT black hole experiment

This paper discusses some philosophical aspects related to the recent publication of the experimental results of the 2017 black hole experiment, namely the first image of the supermassive black hole at the center of galaxy M87. In this paper I present a philosophical analysis of the 2017 Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) black hole experiment. I first present Hacking's philosophy of experimentation. Hacking gives his taxonomy of elements of laboratory science and distinguishes a list of elements. I show that the EHT experiment conforms to major elements from Hacking's list. I then describe with the help of Galison's Philosophy of the Shadow how the EHT Collaboration created the famous black hole image. Galison outlines three stages for the reconstruction of the black hole image: Socio-Epistemology, Mechanical Objectivity, after which there is an additional Socio-Epistemology stage. I subsequently present my own interpretation of the reconstruction of the black hole image and I discuss model fitting to data. I suggest that the main method used by the EHT Collaboration to assure trust in the results of the EHT experiment is what philosophers call the Argument from Coincidence. I show that using this method for the above purpose is problematic. I present two versions of the Argument from Coincidence: Hacking's Coincidence and Cartwright's Reproducibility by which I analyse the EHT experiment. The same estimation of the mass of the black hole is reproduced in four different procedures. The EHT Collaboration concludes: the value we have converged upon is robust. I analyse the mass measurements of the black hole with the help of Cartwright's notion of robustness. I show that the EHT Collaboration construe Coincidence/Reproducibility as Technological Agnosticism and I contrast this interpretation with van Fraassen's scientific agnosticism.     

Price–Dividend Ratios and Stock Price Predictability

A long‐standing puzzle to financial economists is the difficulty of outperforming the benchmark random walk model in out‐of‐sample contests. Using data from the USA over the period of 1872–2007, this paper re‐examines the out‐of‐sample predictability of real stock prices based on price–dividend (PD) ratios. The current research focuses on the significance of the time‐varying mean and nonlinear dynamics of PD ratios in the empirical analysis. Empirical results support the proposed nonlinear model of the PD ratio and the stationarity of the trend‐adjusted PD ratio. Furthermore, this paper rejects the non‐predictability hypothesis of stock prices statistically based on in‐ and out‐of‐sample tests and economically based on the criteria of expected real return per unit of risk. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

内蒙古黄岗梁-白音诺土壤地球化学方法探讨

根据内蒙古黄岗梁—白音诺半干旱区的特点，从研究风成沙对本区土壤地球化学影响入手，进行了土壤的层位及粒度的研究，以确定该区在野外实际工作中土壤地球化学勘查方法所采取的粒级区间和层位。结果表明，土壤测量应截取-5mm～ 0.45mm粒级，层位为c层样品，可有效排除风沙的干扰。     

两淮煤田石炭二叠煤系气源岩评价及其煤成气资源量估算

在有机岩石学参数和有机地球化学参数大量数据的基础上,研究了有机质丰度、有机质类型及有机质成熟度的成烃三要素,确认本区这套源层的有机质丰度高,有机质类型属腐植型(Ⅲ型)母质,有不同程度上的偏混合型(Ⅱ型)特征:有机质成熟度属成熟(淮南)到过成熟(淮北大部)阶段。深成变质作用和后期岩浆热变质作用的迭加是造成两淮煤田现今煤级分布格局的基本因素,雄厚的物质基础、良好的母质类型和适宜的成熟程度表明,本区石炭三叠煤系有良好的产气前景     

Brans－Dicke黑洞的视界及宇宙监督原理的一种热力学表述

讨论了Ｂｒａｎｓ─Ｄｉｃｋｅ（ＢＤ）黑洞的视界及其温度。结果表明，ＢＤ黑洞存在着２个不同的奇异视界，其视界温度均为非有限值。由此，提出宇宙监督原理的一种热力学表述：在视界上，绝对温度为零或趋于无穷大均是不允许的。