能源供求予测模型

本文论述了三种予测能源需求的方法,并对其作了评价;提出了一种能源供应予测模型;最后对我省能源、经济、予测研究提出了建议。     

预测我国钢铁工业发展趋势的递归模型

本文根据我国钢铁工业生产特点,建立了60多个变量、28个方程的递归模型,描述了钢铁工业生产的结构形式,确定了主要生产环节的生产函数,给出了各种经济变量间的相互关系,预测了我国矿、铁、钢、钢材、产值等28个主要的内生变量的未来值,分析了“七五”、“八五”、“九五”三个五年计划可达指标、发展速度及保证条件。经过1984年的实际检验,证明模型的预测效果良好。     

Resource Search in Unstructured Peer-to-Peer System Based on Multiple-Tree Overlay Structure

We propose a multiple-tree overlay structure for resource discovery in unstructured P2P systems. Peers that have similar interests or hold similar type of resources will be grouped into a tree-like cluster. We exploit the heterogeneity of peers in each cluster by connecting peers with more capacities closer to the root of the tree. The capacity of a peer can be defined in different ways （e.g. higher network bandwidth, larger disk space, more data items of a certain type etc.） according to different needs of users or applications.     

On the verge of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Umdeutung</Emphasis> in Minnesota: Van Vleck and the correspondence principle. Part one

In October 1924, The Physical Review, a relatively minor journal at the time, published a remarkable two-part paper by John H. Van Vleck, working in virtual isolation at the University of Minnesota. Using Bohr’s correspondence principle and Einstein’s quantum theory of radiation along with advanced techniques from classical mechanics, Van Vleck showed that quantum formulae for emission, absorption, and dispersion of radiation merge with their classical counterparts in the limit of high quantum numbers. For modern readers Van Vleck’s paper is much easier to follow than the famous paper by Kramers and Heisenberg on dispersion theory, which covers similar terrain and is widely credited to have led directly to Heisenberg’s Umdeutung paper. This makes Van Vleck’s paper extremely valuable for the reconstruction of the genesis of matrix mechanics. It also makes it tempting to ask why Van Vleck did not take the next step and develop matrix mechanics himself. This paper was written as part of a joint project in the history of quantum physics of the Max Planck Institut für Wissenschaftsgeschichte and the Fritz-Haber-Institut in Berlin.     

The Response of Debris-Flow Events to Solar Proton Flares （Ⅰ）

By analyzing the observation data from Dongchuan Debris Flow Observation and Research Station and historical data from year 1965 to 1990 gotten from National Astronomical Ob-servatories/Yunnan Observatory,the responding of debris flow in Jiangjia Ravine to Solar Proton Flare is studied. The following conclusion can be drawn. Solar Proton Flare,as one of most im-portant astronomical factors,affects the activity of debris flow in Yunnan. Generally,from 1965 to1990,the more active Solar Pro-ton Flare is,the greater the probability of high frequency and large runoff of debris flow is. On the contrary,the less active Solar Pro-ton Flare is,the greater the probability of low frequency,small runoff,and low sediment transport of debris flow is.     

基于PLC的温度控制在电镀生产线中的应用

介绍了以三菱FX0NPLC为核心的温度控制系统在电镀生产线中的应用。简述了温度控制原理,论述了控制系统的设计方案及其软硬件的实现方法。实践表明该方法简单易行,适应性好,可靠性高。     

Development of Full Automatic External Welding Machine for Annular Welds of Pipeline

To meet the demands of rapid development of pipeline constructions in China, a complete set of full automatic external welding machine for annular welds of pipeline and welding procedure have been developed thereof. The system has been applied in the “West-East Pipeline Project” and its performance is proven. With this welding machine the welding parameters can be either preset before or adjusted in real time during the welding process, which avoids the blemishes of same type domestic and international products. Thus it is best propitious to in-situ construction conditions and workers‘ technical level in China. In this article the development of mechanical and control systems of this product is introduced and typical welding procedure parameters are provided.     

选择性催化氧化H2S的催化剂研究

在考察了几种单组分氧化物把硫化氢催化氧化为单质硫的基础上，采用共沉淀法合成了3种复合氧化物催化剂A，B，C，并考察了它们的催化活性和选择性．结果表明，在一定条件下，催化剂B的转化率和选择性分别在90％和97％以上，在40h的催化性能稳定性测试中，其转化率和选择性均能保持稳定，具有良好的催化性能．     

高校成人教育学生档案管理的现状与对策

随着社会发展和科学技术的进步，档案越来越引起人们的重视，对于高校学生档案管理工作而言，机遇与挑战并存。要做好高校学生档案管理工作，必须加强学生档案管理法制化，加强学生档案建设的日常管理，推进学生档案的现代化管理。同时必须提高学生档案管理人员自身的素质，适应新时代的要求。     

Bang bang control of unified chaotic system

The unified chaotic system contains the Lorenz system and the Chen system as two dual systems at the two extremes of its parameter spectrum. This paper presents the design of bang bang controller for unified system and multitude of numerical experiments under various control parameters. Numerical experiments meet the theoretic proof perfectly and convincingly demonstrated the controller can be effectively used for unified systems with uncertainty of the equilibrium points. The method enriches the applications of chaotic control. Foundation item: Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(50209012) Biography: Deng Xiao-ming (1980-), male, Master candidate, research direction: chaos control.