基于GM(1,1)灰色系统的公路货运量预测模型的研究

灰色系统理论已成功运用于工业、农业、经济、能源、交通等领域,利用灰色系统理论建立的我国公路货运量预测模型精度高,计算值和统计值吻合程度较好.根据预测模型计算出的未来几年我国公路货运量对我国汽车工业、能源工业和交通部门都具有较高的参考价值.     

供应链中一种基于营销创新的合作竞争博弈模型

成员合作关系是供应链管理的重要研究内容.随着市场竞争程度日趋剧烈,供应链上企业成员为了自身利益不断进行创新性活动.本文利用信息经济学理论从投入产出的角度对一个制造商和一个销售商构成的供应链的营销创新能力进行了分析研究,研究结果表明,制造商与销售商不合作时,为了自身的利益,也会进行营销创新投入,但分别比合作时的投入少.     

回载可分的闭环供应链多车辆运输策略

从车辆路径的角度研究了具有一个配送中心、多台车辆结合前向物流配送和逆向物流回载的闭环供应链运输策略,考虑到逆向物流中回收产品的数量不确定性、不同形态及可分批运输的特点,引入冗余库存限制和成本惩罚,建立并分析了问题的数学模型.通过引入2σ原则构造了先寻找较优分组后组内运用基于TSP的插入算法进行优化调整的启发式求解方法.算例分析表明该策略的合理有效性.     

电价不确定环境下发电商的最优投资时机及其概率分析

电力改革使得发电商成为发电市场上的独立投资主体,在此背景下研究了发电商投资决策问题.从投资收益最大化作为投资决策的基本原则出发,利用鞅和测度转换理论分析了电价的变化特性对发电容量项目最优投资时机和投资概率的影响.结果表明电量电价不确定环境下发电商具有延迟投资的倾向,而容量电价对发电容量投资则具有很强的激励作用.结论显示不确定是投资风险的根源,电价不确定性的增加提高了发电商的投资风险,降低了发电项目的投资概率.     

Cisplatin-induced genes as potential markers for thyroid cancer

Despite the uncontested role of p53 in cycle arrest/cell death after cisplatin treatment, to date the question whether wild-type p53 confers a resistant or sensitive status on the cell is still a matter of debate. Isogenic and isophenotypic human thyroid papillary carcinoma cell line variants for p53 differently expressed cycle genes after cisplatin treatment. Seven genes (CDC6-related protein, CCNC, GAS1, TFDP2, MAPK10/JNK3, WEE1, RPA1) selected after expression on an Atlas human cell cycle array were analyzed by quantitative real-time PCR. While cisplatin treatment increased their expression in p53 wild-type cells it decreased it in cells with inactivated p53 and had no or less effect on cells with mutated p53. These results show that in a well-defined system, different alterations of p53 can lead to a different regulation of genes and hence to either resistance or sensitivity to cisplatin. Moreover for the first time, MAPK10/JNK3 was identified in human thyroid cells and tissue. Four of the genes (CDC6-related protein, CCNC, GAS1 and TFDP2) were decreased in human papillary carcinoma tissues. Relevance of these genes (especially a decrease in GAS1 in thyroid papillary carcinoma) in various malignant pathologies has already been shown. These genes may be explored as new markers in advanced thyroid cancer such as metastatic and anaplastic forms displaying p53 alterations.Received 26 July 2004; received after revision 14 September 2004; accepted 26 October 2004     

Cenozoic motion between East and West Antarctica

The West Antarctic rift system is the result of late Mesozoic and Cenozoic extension between East and West Antarctica, and represents one of the largest active continental rift systems on Earth. But the timing and magnitude of the plate motions leading to the development of this rift system remain poorly known, because of a lack of magnetic anomaly and fracture zone constraints on seafloor spreading. Here we report on magnetic data, gravity data and swath bathymetry collected in several areas of the south Tasman Sea and northern Ross Sea. These results enable us to calculate mid-Cenozoic rotation parameters for East and West Antarctica. These rotations show that there was roughly 180 km of separation in the western Ross Sea embayment in Eocene and Oligocene time. This episode of extension provides a tectonic setting for several significant Cenozoic tectonic events in the Ross Sea embayment including the uplift of the Transantarctic Mountains and the deposition of large thicknesses of Oligocene sediments. Inclusion of this East-West Antarctic motion in the plate circuit linking the Australia, Antarctic and Pacific plates removes a puzzling gap between the Lord Howe rise and Campbell plateau found in previous early Tertiary reconstructions of the New Zealand region. Determination of this East-West Antarctic motion also resolves a long standing controversy regarding the contribution of deformation in this region to the global plate circuit linking the Pacific to the rest of the world.     

基于三维纹理的水下三维声场直接体可视化

声波是潜艇进行水下目标探测的最有效手段,因而在潜艇水下作战环境三维可视化研究中,水面舰船和水下潜艇声能场的可视化是核心技术之一,应用硬件加速的三维纹理技术实现了三维声场直接体可视化。仿真结果表明该方法在三维声场可视化中,能够实时生成高质量的体可视化图像。     

两企业序贯博弈的动态古诺模型

依据产品的市场容量随时间发生变化的特点,修正了两企业序贯博弈的动态古诺模型,并得到新的最优产量解。通过分析可得:修正模型是对传统模型的进一步扩展,而且阶段数m往往是在博弈过程中随市场容量的变化而确定的。     

水平不变海洋声道中WKBZ简正波方法的并行算法

并行算法是解决大数据量运算耗时过久的重要途径，在PC机群上实现并行算法是一种低成本、高效率的解决方案。首先介绍了计算机机群系统，在此基础上，建立了基于LINUX和MPI的PC机群实验环境，实现了WKBZ简正波方法并行计算，并利用建立的试验平台，对并行算法进行了测试，比较了并行WKBZ简正波计算和串行WKBZ简正波计算耗时的差异。根据理论研究和实际测试的结果，总结了利用PC机群系统进行并行WKBZ运算的可行性，得出了一些有意义的结论。