基于后验风险确定故障样本量的Bayes方法

针对目前测试性故障样本量的确定方法过于粗糙和试验样本量过大的问题,提出了合理运用信息熵方法对装备系统各单元的测试性先验信息进行信息融合,得到装备系统级测试性试验数据。在此基础上得到测试性指标的先验分布,并进一步通过Bayes后验风险准则确定故障样本量及试验方案。以某型电动舵机系统各模块的试验数据为例,以故障检测率为测试性指标,经过分析和计算,发现运用所提方法得到的故障样本量相比传统方法明显减少,从而减少了试验成本,同时得到的测试性指标相对误差较小,保证了可信度。     

Long-term increases in clutch size in common snapping turtles (Chelydra serpentina) and diamondback terrapins (Malaclemys terrapin)

Clutch size (CS) is a well-studied life history characteristic, and optimal egg size theory predicts that CS should correlate positively with reproductive investment. Turtles are good subjects for studies of reproductive strategies because few turtle species exhibit parental care; therefore quantifying their short-term reproductive investment is mostly limited to measuring egg size and number. Clutch size is usually reported as an average value for each turtle population, and where CS variation is noted, it is usually attributable to variation in adult body size. In two long-term studies of ecologically dissimilar species we detected a dramatic increase in CS in a common snapping turtle (Chelydra serpentina) population and in a diamondback terrapin (Malaclemys terrapin) population. It is unknown whether these changes are due to either variation in adult body size or resource availability; but the temporal patterns we observed have apparently never been reported previously. These trends remain unexplained and should be explored further.     

The Optimal Solution of the Model with Physical and Human Capital Adjustment Costs

We prove that the model with physical and human capital adjustment costs has optimal solution when the production function is increasing return and the structure of vetor fields of the model changes substantially when the prodution function from decreasing return turns to increasing return. And it is shown that the economy is improved when the coefficients of adjustment costs become small.     

重庆汽车产业配置与地域类型

运用产业经济学和区域经济地理学的原理、结合地理学的分析方法,着重探讨了重庆汽车产业配置地域运动过程和促使其演变的原因.划分重庆汽车产业分布为四种地域类型:“嘉陵江东岸与长江北岸型”;“长江南岸型”;“嘉陵江西岸型”;“飞地型”.对重庆汽车产业配置特点,存在问题作了深入地剖析与揭示,并对今后调整作了初步的设想.     

PVA退浆废水预处理研究

PVA（聚乙烯醇）是一种高分子合成浆料，它广泛用于纺织，染整行业中，由于其可生化降解性差，会影响到废水处理，为此研究了化学絮凝，微滤和超滤对废水中高浓度PVA的预处理技术，并评价了三种预处理工艺的效果。     

山东省公路货运运力结构调整的对策

本文在调查研究的基础上,指出了山东省载货汽车运力发展中存在的问题,提出了相应的运力结构调整对策。这对省府有关部门制定交通政策具有参考价值。     

ZrO_2纳米微粒红外振动特征

测定了单斜ＺｒＯ_２纳米材料在各种粒度下的付里叶变换红外光声光谱（ＦＴ—ＩＲ—ＰＡＳ），发现随粒度的减小，大部分的谱线位置蓝移，而有些谱线的位置红移，同时在不同频段，有的强度增强，有的强度减弱甚至消失。研究了量子尺寸效应和介电限城效应对其光学特征的影响，对观察到的物理现象进行了物理机制探讨     

掺杂离子导体的粒子交叠广义晶格模型及其电导的粒子尺度效应

提出了一种掺杂离子导体（ＤＩＣ）的粒子交叠广义晶格模型，由此模型，推导随机－电阻－网络（ＲＲＮ）理论中３种导电键各自组分的几率，并采用有效介质近似（ＥＭＡ）计算了ＤＩＣ系统的电导及其粒子尺度效应。     

我国跨国经营的发展构想

本文在系统阐述当代跨国经营战略调整与发展趋势的基础上，简要剖析了现阶段我国企业跨国经营的主要问题，重点探讨了我国跨国企业发展战略的基本构想。     

超声波探伤中快速制作距离波幅曲线的方法

经过多年的探伤实验，总结出两种快速制作距离波幅曲线的方法。