| 导弹单发命中概率小子样问题研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 王正向. 导弹单发命中概率小子样问题研究[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 1993, 0(3) |
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| 作者姓名： | 王正向 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国人民解放军87217部队 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文在较一般化的概率模型基础上建立了单发命中概率的一些统计模型,并据以分析了单发命中概率估值(?)的统计误差,给出了rms(?)的定量关系式和计算结果,指出了解决导弹单发命中概率小子样问题的途径和方法,为其决策提供了理论依据。文中所给有关统计模型应用于武器系统精度仿真试验时,还能大大提高该项试验的速度和精度。
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| 关 键 词： | 面对空导弹 命中概率 命中点 杀伤面积 统计模型 统计样本 |
A Study on Small Sample Problem of Missile Hit Probability |
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| Wang ZhengxiangNo. Troops of PLA of China. A Study on Small Sample Problem of Missile Hit Probability[J]. System Engineering and Electronics, 1993, 0(3) |
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| Authors: | Wang ZhengxiangNo. Troops of PLA of China |
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| Affiliation: | Wang ZhengxiangNo.87217 Troops of PLA of China |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, the statistical models of missile hit probability are set up on the basis of relatively generalized probability model. According to these models, the statistical error on estimator P of the missile hit probability is analyzed, the quantitative relation of rms(P) and its results are presented, and the approach and method to solve the small sample problem of missile hit probability are pointed out. These can be used as the theoretical fundamentals for determining this problem. With these models applied in accuracy simulation test of weapon system, the test speed and accuracy could be improved greatly. |
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| Keywords: | Surface-to-air missile Killing zone Probability point Hit probability iSmall sample Statistical model Statistical accuracy. |
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