| 基于家庭决策的出行方式选择非集计模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 宗刚,刘文芝,张超,谢卓然.基于家庭决策的出行方式选择非集计模型[J].湖南大学学报(自然科学版),2013,40(4):100-103. |
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| 作者姓名： | 宗刚 刘文芝 张超 谢卓然 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 北京工业大学经济与管理学院,北京,100124
2. 长安大学运输工程系,陕西西安,710064 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用2010年北京市居民出行调查数据,建立了基于家庭决策的居民出行方式选择非集计模型.采用蒙特卡洛仿真技术和遗传算法对模型参数进行极大似然估计.研究结果表明,本文所建模型拟合度比较好,ρ2值达到0.759,模型在家庭和个人等两种不同出行链水平上能够较好地描述出行者的出行方式选择行为.
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| 关 键 词： | 出行方式 家庭决策 蒙特卡洛 遗传算法 |
Household Decision Based Disaggregate Mode Choice Model |
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| ZONG Gang,LIU Wen-zhi,ZHANG Chao,XIE Zhuo-ran.Household Decision Based Disaggregate Mode Choice Model[J].Journal of Hunan University(Naturnal Science),2013,40(4):100-103. |
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| Authors: | ZONG Gang LIU Wen-zhi ZHANG Chao XIE Zhuo-ran |
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| Institution: | 1.School of Economics and Management,Beijing Univ of Technology,Beijing 100124,China; 2.Dept of Transportation Engineering,Chang’An Univ,Xi’an,Shanxi 710064,China) |
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| Abstract: | This paper built a household decision based disaggregate mode choice model based on data from 2010Travel Survey of Beijing. The model parameters were estimated with Monte Carlo Method and Genetic Algorithm. The results have indicated that the disaggregated mode choice model fits the data very well and produces a fairly high overall goodness of fit of 0.759. It shows that the model can describe the mode choice behavior well. |
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| Keywords: | mode choice household decision Monte Carlo genetic algorithms |
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