| 应用马尔可夫理论对市场进行预测与决策 |
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| 引用本文： | 李振烈,季令.应用马尔可夫理论对市场进行预测与决策[J].上海交通大学学报,2000(Z1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 李振烈 季令 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海铁道大学运输管理工程系!上海200331 |
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| 摘 要： | 阐述了马尔可夫决策理论中的最基本分析方法——系统状态转移概率矩阵决策法 ,指出这种决策分析法能有效地对市场作出预测与决策 ,特别对于某些预测问题 ,应用此法的效果比用其他一些经典预测法所得的结果更优 .对美国柯达、日本富士、中国乐凯三家公司的产品占有率进行了预测与决策
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| 关 键 词： | 马尔可夫过程 转移概率矩阵 产品市场占有率 |
Applications of Markovian Decision Process in Market Predicting and Decision |
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| LI Zhen- lie,JI Ling Dept. of Transportation Management Eng.,Shanghai Tiedao Univ.,Shanghai ,China.Applications of Markovian Decision Process in Market Predicting and Decision[J].Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University,2000(Z1). |
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| Authors: | LI Zhen- lie JI Ling Dept of Transportation Management Eng Shanghai Tiedao Univ Shanghai China |
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| Institution: | LI Zhen- lie,JI Ling Dept. of Transportation Management Eng.,Shanghai Tiedao Univ.,Shanghai 2 0 0 331,China |
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| Abstract: | This essay introduced the basic analysis method of Markovian decision method.And through the examples of predicting the market occupancy of the three famous companies that produced color films, America Kodak,Japan Fujitsu and China Lekai,this essay explained its specific applications. |
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| Keywords: | Markovian process transition probability matrix market occupanc |
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