The Synopsis of the Theory of Pansystems Multinomial Forecasting

The theory of Pansystems Multionomial forecasting (TPMF) is a theory which researches this kind of multinomial forecasting problem:Suppose S(t) is an undnown multinomial, S(j) is the value vector of S(t) at t=t_j. If we get a set of data(S_0, S_1,…, S_n), S_j is an approximate vector of the vector S(j), then how to forecast the vector S(n+1) and what is the maximum of the distance between the forecasting vector and the vector S(n+1) under the condition that S(t) unchanges during the discussion procedure and the range of error is knowm.The purpose of the paper is to give a brief introduction of TPMF.

The Synopsis of the Theory of Pansystems Multinomial Forecasting