| 工业管网水系统事件树探析 |
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| 引用本文： | 幸福堂,张引弟,向晓东.工业管网水系统事件树探析[J].武汉科技大学学报(自然科学版),2006,29(5):506-509. |
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| 作者姓名： | 幸福堂 张引弟 向晓东 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉科技大学资源与环境工程学院,湖北,武汉,430081 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据可靠性理论，建立不同的维修策略下可修复系统的失效模型。当系统零部件的概率是时间的函数时，用本模型可预测未来某一时刻对应维修策略下系统失效的概率，从而为制订合理的维修策略提供有效的依据。为使模型具有实用性，用事件树分析法对工业输水管道进行系统可靠性分析、定量计算，得出不同维修策略模型下系统失效的概率，有效地估计维修策略对系统的影响，并提出管道系统安全性的建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 事件树 可靠性 维修策略 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-3090(2006)05-0506-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-12-30 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005年12月30 |
Event Tree Analysis of Conduit Pipe System in Industrial Ductwork |
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| XING Fu-tang,ZHANG Yin-di,XIANG Xiao-dong.Event Tree Analysis of Conduit Pipe System in Industrial Ductwork[J].Journal of Wuhan University of Science and Technology(Natural Science Edition),2006,29(5):506-509. |
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| Authors: | XING Fu-tang ZHANG Yin-di XIANG Xiao-dong |
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| Institution: | College of Resources and Environmental Engineering, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430081, China |
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| Abstract: | The failure models of reparable system under different repairing games are constructed according to the reliability theory. If the system accessories are the function of time, these models can be used to predict the failure possibility of the system for different repairing games at any given time in the future. They can be used effectively for the design of reasonable repairing games. To make the models more applicable, event tree analysis and quantitative calculation on industrial conduit pipes are carried out and the probabilities of the system for different repairing games are obtained. The effects of different repairing games on the system are estimated effectively, and the advice for ductwork safety improvement is presented. |
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| Keywords: | event tree reliability repairing games |
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