| 基于多元回归模型的2010年上海世博会客流量预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王小平,孙彩贤. 基于多元回归模型的2010年上海世博会客流量预测分析[J]. 江汉大学学报(自然科学版), 2010, 38(2): 24-25,35 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王小平 孙彩贤 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 许昌学院,数学科学学院,河南,许昌,461000
2. 河南工业大学,理学院,河南,郑州,450001 |
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| 摘 要： | 选取上海城市吸引力系数和上海世博会的吸引力系数等参数,利用多元回归模型定性对2010年上海世博会客流量进行了预测及分析.结果表明:利用多元回归模型对世博会客流量做的预测与以前常用的渗透率模型和引力模型相比有其自身的优越性,考虑因素更为全面.
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| 关 键 词： | 多元回归模型 客流量预测 上海世博会 |
Analysis of Passenger Traffic Forecasting in World Expo 2010 Shanghai Based on Multivariate Regression Model |
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| WANG Xiao-ping,SUN Cai-xian. Analysis of Passenger Traffic Forecasting in World Expo 2010 Shanghai Based on Multivariate Regression Model[J]. Journal of Jianghan University(Natural Sciences), 2010, 38(2): 24-25,35 |
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| Authors: | WANG Xiao-ping SUN Cai-xian |
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| Affiliation: | 1. School of Mathematical Sciences, Xuchang University , Xuchang 461000,Henan,China; (2. 2.College of Science, Henan University of Technology, Zhengzhou 450001,Henan,China) |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,the passenger traffic of 2010 Shanghai World Expo is forecasted and analysed qualitatively, making use of multivariate regression model.Such as the attractive coefficients of Shanghai and Shanghai World Expo are selected as parameters.The results show that compared with permeability model and gravity model in common usage,multivariate regression model considers factors more comprehensively for passenger traffic forecasting in Shanghai World Expo. |
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| Keywords: | multivariate regression model passenger traffic forecasting Shanghai World Expo |
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