| 月亮轨道周期与世界著名河流的洪水 |
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| 引用本文： | 薛凡炳.月亮轨道周期与世界著名河流的洪水[J].中山大学学报(自然科学版),1988(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 薛凡炳 |
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| 作者单位： | 中山大学大气科学系 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用月亮轨道周期和地球轨道周期的准公倍数(即天文气候周期系),借助68至95年前期洪水历史资料,推算后期10年以上逐年洪水变化.求出外推值距平和实测洪水值距平的相关系数.8条有较长序列记录的著名河流中,7条的洪水和天文气候周期系有关,其中6条相关显著度超过92%,内中又有5条相关系数大于0.5.这表明月亮轨道周期运动,对一些地区的气候和水文变化过程是不可忽视的外部因素.
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| 关 键 词： | 月亮轨道周期 大洪水 河流 |
Orbit Periods of the Moon and the Large Floods of Some Famous Rivers in the World |
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| Xue Fanbing.Orbit Periods of the Moon and the Large Floods of Some Famous Rivers in the World[J].Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Sunyatseni,1988(1). |
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| Authors: | Xue Fanbing |
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| Institution: | Xue Fanbing |
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| Abstract: | According to the quasi-least common multiples between lunar orbit periods and the earth's orbit periods (i.e. Astro-climatic periods), and using the flood records in earlier times (68-95 years ago), the departure values of floods are estimated. Then the correlation coefficients between the estimated and the observed departure values are calculated.For six out of the eight rivers with long-term records,the reliability is larger than 92%. For five of them, the correlation coefficients are above 0.5. It is shown that the periodic orbit movement of the moon as an external factor can not be ignored in some regions of hydrology and meteorology. |
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| Keywords: | lunar orbit periods large floods river |
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