| 航天系统安全性分析的概率风险评估方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 顾基发,赵丽艳.航天系统安全性分析的概率风险评估方法[J].系统工程与电子技术,1999,21(8). |
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| 作者姓名： | 顾基发 赵丽艳 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国科学院系统科学研究所,北京,100080 |
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| 摘 要： | 在对航天系统进行安全性分析的定性、定量、综合方法的基础上，主要介绍了以定量风险评估为主的、在ＮＡＳＡ和ＥＳＡ均得到广泛应用的概率风险评估（ＰｒｏｂａｂｉｌｉｓｔｉｃＲｉｓｋＡｓｓｅｓｓｍｅｎｔ，ＰＲＡ）方法．着重介绍了该方法的基本思想和具体实施过程，并探讨了在我国航天系统安全性分析中使用ＰＲＡ方法的可行性。
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| 关 键 词： | 航天安全 概率 风险评估 |
Introduction of Probabilistic Risk Assessment Approach to Analyze the Safety of Space Systems |
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| Gu Jifa,Zhao Liyan.Introduction of Probabilistic Risk Assessment Approach to Analyze the Safety of Space Systems[J].System Engineering and Electronics,1999,21(8). |
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| Authors: | Gu Jifa Zhao Liyan |
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| Abstract: | After simply reviewing qualitative, quantitative and synthetic methods to analyze the safety of space systems, this paper mainly introduces main idea and practical working procedure of probabilistic risk assessment approach, which considers mostly quantitative risk assessment and has been applied broadly to NASA and ESA. We also explore the possibility of applying PRA to analyze the safety of our country's space systems. |
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| Keywords: | Safety analysis Probabilistic risk assessment approach |
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