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基于决策树技术的预离网客户识别模型
引用本文:李智勇,冷夔.基于决策树技术的预离网客户识别模型[J].成都大学学报(自然科学版),2011,30(4):371-374.
作者姓名:李智勇  冷夔
作者单位:中国移动通信集团四川有限公司,四川成都,610072
摘    要:客户流失将直接影响到通信运营企业的生存与发展.对此,需要利用数据挖掘技术通过建立预测模型,将有离网倾向的客户(预离网客户)识别出来,并采用有效措施进行保有.以CRISP-DM(跨行业数据挖掘过程标准)为工具,从商业理解、数据理解、数据准备、建立模型、模型评估和结果部署6个阶段,详细阐述了预离网客户识别模型的构建方法,并...

关 键 词:预离网  CRISP-DM  数据挖掘  决策树

Identifying Model for Anticipated Communication Service-discontinuing Customers Based on Decision Tree Technology
LI Zhiyong,LENG Kui.Identifying Model for Anticipated Communication Service-discontinuing Customers Based on Decision Tree Technology[J].Journal of Chengdu University (Natural Science),2011,30(4):371-374.
Authors:LI Zhiyong  LENG Kui
Institution:1.Sichuan Limited Company,China Mobile Communications Group,Chengdu 610072,China)
Abstract:The loss of customers will directly impact the survival and development of telecom enterprises,therefore,it is necessary to use the data to develop technology,identify anticipated communication service-discontinuing customers by establishing forecast test model as well as carrying out effective measures to retain.Taking the CRISP-DM(Cross-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining) as a tool,from aspects of business understanding,data understanding,data preparation,establishment of model,model evaluation and outcome arrangement,the method of establishing the model for identifying anticipated communication service-discontinuing customers was discussed in detail.Decision tree node model was used as data mining tool and technology to establish the identifying model.The model has played a positive role in the process of retaining works for communication customers and achieved good effect.
Keywords:anticipated communication service-discontinuing  CRISP-DM  data mining  decision tree
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