机场大面积航班延误传播的状态空间模型

为提高航班运行效率、减少航班延误传播,针对机场大面积航班延误在本场及本场与目的机场之间的传播,首先提出了O-D场的概念并对大面积延误下的O-D场延误传播途径进行了分析,建立了表征延误传播的动态参数,并对延误传播程度进行了量化。基于状态空间理论建立了O-D场延误传播的状态空间模型。最后通过算例分析,得到大面积延误下O-D场内不同传播途径对延误发展的影响,并验证了延误传播模型的合理性。

State Space Model of Airport Delay Propagation under Large-area Flight Delay

Abstract] In view of the propagation of large-area flight delay in the source airport and between source airport and the destination airport, the concept of O-D field is first proposed and the delay propagation paths are analyzed. The dynamic parameters of delay propagation are established and the degree of delay propagation is quantified, and the delay propagation model of O-D field is established based on the state space theory. Finally, the effect of different propagation paths in O-D field on the development of delay is obtained by an example analysis, and the reasonableness of the delay propagation model is verified.