| 容县人口现状分析和未来预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 甘永萍. 容县人口现状分析和未来预测[J]. 广西师范学院学报(自然科学版), 1996, 0(4) |
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| 作者姓名： | 甘永萍 |
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| 作者单位： | 广西师范学院地理系 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文首先对容县四十多年来人口的发展变化趋势及现状特点进行分析，然后用自然平均增长法、回归预测法、灰色系统ＧＭ（１．１）模型、中国人口模型及逻吉斯蒂模型等方法对该县未来人口的发展作了预测，经对预测结果进行分析比较，选取了中国人口模型的预测结果．此结果可为容县制定社会经济发展规划，土地利用规划等提供科学依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 容县；人口；人口现状；人口预测 |
Analysis of Present Situation and Future Prognostication of Population in Rongxian County |
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| Gan Yong ping. Analysis of Present Situation and Future Prognostication of Population in Rongxian County[J]. Journal of Guangxi Teachers Education University:Natural Science Edition, 1996, 0(4) |
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| Authors: | Gan Yong ping |
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| Abstract: | An analysis of population development in the past 40-odd years in Rongxian County, the developing trend and characteristics of present situation is firstly made hereof. And next comes a prognostication of population development in the near future in the aforementioned county with utilization of Natural Average in Increase Method, Regression Analysis Method,Grey System GM(1. 1 ),Population Model of China and Lagisty Model. With the prognostic results analyzed and compared,the prognostication based on Population Model of China is adopted,Which will provide scientific basis for planning socioenomic development and land utilization etc. of Rongxian County. |
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| Keywords: | Rongxian County population present situation of population prognostication of population |
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