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论自然灾害风险情景的界定与情景风险表达
引用本文:刘耀龙,李飞,王军,胡蓓蓓.论自然灾害风险情景的界定与情景风险表达[J].山西师范大学学报,2012(3):85-87.
作者姓名:刘耀龙  李飞  王军  胡蓓蓓
作者单位:太原理工大学科技处;华东师范大学资源与环境科学学院;天津师范大学城市与环境科学学院
基金项目:太原理工大学引进人才科研启动项目(TYUT-RC201110A);天津市高等学校人文社科一般项目(20092117);天津师范大学博士基金(52X09019)
摘    要:通过对灾害风险、风险情景概念的界定,提出灾害风险情景的类型及组合方式.针对灾害情景风险分析与评估的基本程序,提出灾害情景风险的表达方式.本文强调,灾害风险只有在一定的情景组合条件下,才有表达的可能性和可靠性,才有进一步服务于区域防灾减灾的应用价值。

关 键 词:自然灾害  情景风险  界定  表达

A Discussion of the Definition of Natural Disaster Risk Scenarios and Its Expression
LIU Yao-long,LI Fei,WANG Jun,HU Bei-bei.A Discussion of the Definition of Natural Disaster Risk Scenarios and Its Expression[J].Journal of Shanxi Teachers University,2012(3):85-87.
Authors:LIU Yao-long  LI Fei  WANG Jun  HU Bei-bei
Institution:1.Science and Technology Department,Taiyuan University of Technology,Taiyuan 030024,Shanxi,China; 2.School of Resources and Environment Science,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200062,China; 3.College of Urban and Environment Science,Tianjin Normal University,Tianjin 300387,China)
Abstract:By defining the concept of disaster risk,the risk scenario,the types and combinations of the disaster risk scenarios has been proposed.According to the basic procedures for risk analysis and assessment,the expression ways of the disaster scenarios risk has been discussed.We emphasize that the expression possibility and reliability of disaster risk exists in certain conditions and combinations of disasters’scenarios.There are values for regional disaster prevention and mitigation.
Keywords:natural disaster  scenario risk  definition  expression
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