基于系统动力学机制的组合港发展研究

为提升港口的国际竞争力,现代港口在竞争与合作中,建立港口物流供应链的战略合作伙伴关系,形成组合港。剖析组合港的概念及内涵,应用系统动力学理论及仿真方法,分析组合港发展的因果关系、运输需求、能力供给与经济发展的基本反馈关系等,建立组合港发展的系统动力学仿真模型。苏州组合港的实证分析表明,该方法为港口发展决策提供理论依据和指导。

Study of Combinatorial Port Based on System Dynamics

In order to improve the power of international competition,the relationship of stratagem cooperate partner in the port supply chain logistics management San Diego was set up. The combinatorial port was formed in the cause of competition and cooperate.The concept and meaning of combinatorial port were analyzed.Using system dynamics theory and similitude method,the causality of the combinatorial port,transport requirement of the combinatorial port,and its basic feedback relation of ability supply and economy development were analyzed. The system dynamics model of the combinatorial port was established. The analyse result of Shuzhou Port indicates that the method can offer theories basis for establishing policy of port development.