| PERSPECTIVES ON URBAN WATER INFRASTRUCTURE IN CHINA FOR THE 21~(ST) CENTURY: SDMUWEIC MODEL |
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| 引用本文： | Junying CHU Jining CHEN Ji ZOUDepartment of Environmental Science and EngineeringTsinghua University,Beijing 100084,P.R. ChinaDepartment of Environmental Economics and ManagementRenmin University of China,Beijing 100872,P.R. China. PERSPECTIVES ON URBAN WATER INFRASTRUCTURE IN CHINA FOR THE 21~(ST) CENTURY: SDMUWEIC MODEL[J]. 系统科学与系统工程学报(英文版), 2003, 12(4) |
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| 作者姓名： | Junying CHU Jining CHEN Ji ZOUDepartment of Environmental Science and EngineeringTsinghua University Beijing 100084 P.R. ChinaDepartment of Environmental Economics and ManagementRenmin University of China Beijing 100872 P.R. China |
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| 作者单位： | Junying CHU Jining CHEN Ji ZOUDepartment of Environmental Science and EngineeringTsinghua University，Beijing 100084，P.R. ChinaDepartment of Environmental Economics and ManagementRenmin University of China，Beijing 100872，P.R. China |
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| 基金项目： | the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 70073040 |
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| 摘 要： | Based on system dynamics approach, SDMUWEIC model is developed in order to evaluate future dynamics of urban water infrastructure development in China. Firstly, this paper presents the basic structure and characteristics of the model, focusing on water infrastructure's dynamic relationships with population increase, economic development, water resources shortage and water conservation practices. Secondly, model veracity and robustness tests based on behavior reproduction and uncertainty analyses are illustrated. Thirdly, based on the model, future patterns of China's urban water infrastructure investment requirements are simulated, and effectiveness of two different policy scenarios are evaluated. Finally, conclusions and policy implications are drawn, allowing insights into China's sustainable water infrastructure policies and managements.
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PERSPECTIVES ON URBAN WATER INFRASTRUCTURE IN CHINA FOR THE 21ST CENTURY: SDMUWEIC MODEL |
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| Junying CHU,Jining CHEN,Ji ZOU. PERSPECTIVES ON URBAN WATER INFRASTRUCTURE IN CHINA FOR THE 21ST CENTURY: SDMUWEIC MODEL[J]. Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering, 2003, 12(4) |
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| Authors: | Junying CHU Jining CHEN Ji ZOU |
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| Abstract: | Based on system dynamics approach, SDMUWEIC model is developed in order to evaluate future dynamics of urban water infrastructure development in China. Firstly, this paper presents the basic structure and characteristics of the model, focusing on water infrastructure's dynamic relationships with population increase, economic development, water resources shortage and water conservation practices. Secondly, model veracity and robustness tests based on behavior reproduction and uncertainty analyses are illustrated. Thirdly, based on the model, future patterns of China's urban water infrastructure investment requirements are simulated, and effectiveness of two different policy scenarios are evaluated. Finally, conclusions and policy implications are drawn, allowing insights into China's sustainable water infrastructure policies and managements. |
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| Keywords: | SDMUWEIC system dynamics investment water infrastructure policy analysis |
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