科技型人才区域分布差异及其效应

 以灰色系统理论为依据，探讨了中国区域科技型人才分布不均衡问题，计算了影响区域分布不均衡的主要因素；建立了科技型人才的灰色系统预测模型，对中国区域科技型人才数量进行模拟和预测。结果显示，区域差异马太效应明显，虹吸效应影响持续存在，木桶短板危险性增加。建议东部地区调整吸引人才的政策措施，探索新型城市发展道路；中、西部地区提升自身经济发展，完善社会保障体系；促进区域间科技型人才相互融通补充。

On regional distribution difference of talents and its effect

Based on the grey system theory, this paper studies unbalanced distribution of regional scientific and technological talents in China and calculates the main factors affecting the unbalanced distribution. On this basis, a grey system prediction model of scientific and technological talents is established to simulate and predict the numbers of regional scientific and technological talents in China. The result shows that the regional difference Matthew effect is obvious, that the siphon effect continues to exist, and that the risk of barrel short board increases. Corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward. The result of the study has certain reference value for controlling the risk of extremely unbalanced distribution of scientific and technological talents in China as well as coordinating regional development