煤矿瓦斯涌出量预测的不确定性研究

根据瓦斯涌出量实际监测值是在某一区间内变化的实际情况,引入连续区间有序加权算子对区间数进行集结,并基于灰色预测建模思想给出一种不确定性煤矿瓦斯涌出量的预测模型。最后实例验证了该方法在煤矿瓦斯涌出量中的可行性和实用性。

Coal Mine Gas Gushing Amount Study of the Uncertainty of Prediction

According to the actual monitoring of gas gushing amount are within a certain range of changes in the actual situation,a continuous ordered weighted operator of the interval number for the aggregation is introduced,and gray prediction model based on the idea of uncertainty is given a coal mine gas gushing amount prediction models.Finally,an example is given to prove the feasibility and practicality of the method in the coal mine gas gushing amount prediction.