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基于AR模型的话务自学习研究与应用
引用本文:朱明英. 基于AR模型的话务自学习研究与应用[J]. 科学技术与工程, 2012, 12(7): 1648-1651
作者姓名:朱明英
作者单位:中国电信股份有限公司广东研究院,广州,510630
摘    要:本文通过对AR模型的研究,提出了一种基于AR模型的话务自学习模型。通过对话务数据进行平稳化差分处理,得到话务数据的模型,并对未来的话务数据进行预测。仿真结果表明,建立的话务自学习的AR模型和实际的话务数据有很高的一致性,且仿真速度快,适合在实际的工作中应用。

关 键 词:话务自学习、AR模型、话务预测
收稿时间:2011-11-21
修稿时间:2011-12-26

The research and application of communication traffic self-learning based on AR model
Mingying Zhu. The research and application of communication traffic self-learning based on AR model[J]. Science Technology and Engineering, 2012, 12(7): 1648-1651
Authors:Mingying Zhu
Affiliation:(Guangdong Research Institute of China Telecom Corporation Ltd., Guangzhou 510630,P.R.China)
Abstract:Based on the analysis of AR model,a communication traffic self-learning model is provided.Through the differential treatment of the communication traffic data,a self-learning model is obtained.Using this model,future traffic can be forecast.Simulation results indicate that the communication traffic self-learning based on AR model has high consistency with real traffic data.Moreover,the computational complexity of our algorithm is acceptable for real work.
Keywords:traffic self-learning   AR model   traffic forecasting
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